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Courtesy of Yahoo.com
Commuters Inhale Heavy Dose of Pollution
By LiveScience Staff
posted: 30 October 2007 04:46 pm ET
Driving is more hazardous than anyone knew: A heavy commuter inhales more pollution while driving than in the entire rest of the day, a new study finds.
The research was done in Los Angeles, where the average driver spends 1.5 hours behind the wheel. That time in traffic accounts for 33 to 45 percent of total exposure to diesel and ultrafine particles (UFP), the study showed.
On freeways, diesel-fueled trucks are the source of the highest concentrations of harmful pollutants.
"If you have otherwise healthy habits and don't smoke, driving to work is probably the most unhealthy part of your day," said Scott Fruin, assistant professor of environmental health at the Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California. "Urban dwellers with long commutes are probably getting most of their UFP exposure while driving."
Ultrafine particles are of particular concern because, unlike larger particles, they can penetrate cell walls and disperse throughout the body, Fruin said. Particulate matter has been linked to cardiovascular disease, but the ultrafine fraction on roadways appears to be more toxic than larger sizes.
Previous research found children on school buses breathe more pollution. And a study in London found people in taxis, buses, and cars all inhale substantially more pollution than cyclists and pedestrians.
In the new study, researchers measured exposure by outfitting an electric vehicle with air pollution instruments. A video recorded surrounding traffic and driving conditions on freeways and arterial roads throughout the Los Angeles region. Measurements were collected during a three-month period from February to April 2003, and four typical days were selected for a second-by-second video and statistical analysis.
"This study was the first to look at the effect of driving and traffic conditions at this level of detail and to demonstrate the specific factors leading to the highest pollutant exposures for drivers," Fruin says. "The extent that a specific type of vehicle—diesel trucks—dominated the highest concentration conditions on freeways was unexpected."
Driving with the windows closed and using recirculating air settings can modestly reduce the particle pollution exposures but does not reduce most gaseous pollutants, the researchers concluded.
"Shortening your commute and spending less time in the car will significantly reduce your total body burden of harmful pollutants," Fruin said.
The study was supported by the California Air Resources Board.
Sep 16, 2007 7:39 pm US/Mountain
Union Pacific Wants Service From Greeley To Denver
By Bill Jackson, Greeley Tribune
(AP) GREELEY, Colo. Union Pacific Railroad wants to open commuter rail service from Denver to Greeley.
The company said it has a pending agreement with the Regional Transportation District to relocate two of its northeast Denver rail facilities to its proposed new terminal between Fort Lupton and Brighton in southern Weld County.
Presently, Weld is not a member of the RTD.
Under the pending agreement, however, the RTD would have the option to purchase a 55-mile by 50-foot right-of-way that could run from Denver to Greeley on Union Pacific's 90-mile Greeley subdivision corridor that has served communities in Weld and Adams counties since 1878.
UP intends to relocate a classification yard and intermodal terminal from Denver to its new proposed terminal about halfway between Fort Lupton and Brighton. That move would make way for two FasTracks commuter rail corridors, said Dick Hartman, director of public affairs for the railroad. That commuter rail service could then serve Fort Lupton, Platteville, Gilcrest, La Salle, Evans and Greeley.
The agreement does not specify when commuter rail service would be extended north.
Earlier this year, RTD and Union Pacific signed a $40 million contract allowing the railroad to pursue design and engineering studies for the terminal on 640 acres. That proposal was met by opposition by residents in the area fearing the increased truck traffic, noise and environmental concerns it would bring.
Local officials expressed optimism about the current proposal, but said there are a lot of hurdles that in the path, the first being Weld becoming a part of the RTD.
Greeley Mayor Tom Selders, and Dave Long, chairman of the Board of Weld County Commissioners, said they think that would take two ballot issues -- one on whether or not Weld residents would want to join the transportation district and a second on whether or not they would want to pay the taxes that would be necessary to make that move.
"I'm not sure Weld voters would vote that way right now," Long said, noting there is not the ridership to support such a service, presently.
"But this can jolt everybody, and a lot of people will say something like this could never happen. But I would argue that, because it could happen in the future given the population growth figures for this area we've seen," Long said.
Selders agreed.
"I think this is something we certainly need to look at," he said.
Longtime Fort Lupton community leader Don Cummins has watched the development of the proposed terminal, along the present UP line between Weld County roads 4 and 8, for sometime.
Cummins said any commuter line "would take five to 10 years after they get the new terminal built," adding "I'm really optimistic because we've got some real traffic problems we have to solve."
UP's Hartman said the railroad and RTD have entered into an agreement to fund work that will allow UP to establish the feasibility and cost of its potential relocation. That should be done by late this year and a decision by RTD and UP on building the new facilities would be shortly thereafter.
If the proposal is approved, construction would take place 2008-2009, with the new facility opening in 2010.
(© 2007 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. )
The Des Moines Register
Richardson: 'Fixation' on highways has to stop
Government must plan for more efficient transportation,
says the presidential candidate.
By WILLIAM PETROSKI REGISTER STAFF WRITER
September 5, 2007
Creston, Ia. - The United States' transportation system is "fixated on highways" and should include more emphasis on energy-efficient modes of travel with planning to ensure preservation of open spaces, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson said Tuesday.
Richardson told a crowd of about 80 people at Creston's historic railroad depot that he's been struck by the massive traffic jams and congestion he's encountered while visiting as many as three states per day while seeking the Democratic presidential nomination.
The problem, he said, has been caused by poor planning and by policymakers' inability to look forward toward providing alternatives to driving automobiles.
"What I am seeing right now is all across the country ... individuals in cities are asking for a more active federal role in not just funding bills to create new highways, but also light rail transportation, commuter rail and open spaces," said Richardson, whose campaign talk was interrupted several times by the rumble of freight trains and a Chicago-bound Amtrak passenger train that rolled past the depot.
Federal transportation policy should include cooperation with state and local governments to find ways to repair the nation's infrastructure to avoid situations such as the collapse of the Interstate Highway 35W bridge in Minneapolis, he added. These improvements should include upgrading the nation's electric grid, he added.
Richardson, a former congressman and energy secretary, also visited Osceola Tuesday, ending a two-day Iowa trip. He generally got good marks from members of the Creston audience.
Keith Daniels, a retired farmer who lives in Creston, said Richardson can count on his backing. "He's a good man. I think he has a lot of experience, and he knows how to handle things," Daniels said.
State Rep. Clel Baudler, a Greenfield Republican, said he was heavily leaning toward supporting Republican Fred Thompson for president, but he's interested in learning more about the New Mexico governor's stance on issues.
"I am open to supporting the best person," Baudler said.
Baudler previously met Richardson at a National Rifle Association event in New Mexico, and he said he subsequently went elk hunting there and people spoke highly of him. On Tuesday, Baudler said he liked Richardson's pledge to uphold the U.S. Constitution, and a plan to help people pay off student loans through national community service or military service. But he said he was disappointed with Richardson's stance on some social issues.
Reporter William Petroski can be reached at (515) 284-8547 or bpetroski@dmreg.com
Conservation Law Foundation
Interstate 93 Widening Fighting for a Balanced Transportation System and Smarter Growth
Simply widening I-93 will not solve traffic woes, as traffic congestion will soon return. New Hampshire needs a balanced transportation system that includes rail and other innovative solutions.
The proposal to widen Interstate 93 has been called one of the most wasteful road projects in America. The project will induce sprawling growth and development along the I-93 corridor and throughout southern New Hampshire. Traffic congestion will soon return and impacts to wetlands and water resources will be severe, as will the loss of open space and forests associated with future induced development.
The New Hampshire Department of Transportation's (DOT) proposal -- to simply double the highway's capacity from four lanes to eight between Salem and Manchester -- is an unsustainable and short-sighted solution. New Hampshire needs a balanced transportation system that includes rail and other innovative remedies.
CLF has been leading the opposition to DOT's short-sighted "fix" and promoting sustainable solutions through a coalition of 13 environmental and public interest advocacy groups, including the Society for the Protection of New Hampshire Forests, NH Audubon, NH Public Interest Research Group (NH PIRG) and the NH Public Health Association. The coalition has called upon DOT to develop a balanced, long-term transportation solution that limits impacts to air and water quality, and that promotes more sustainable, less sprawling development in southern New Hampshire.
CLF filed suit in February 2006 charging that NH DOT and the National Highway Administration violated the requirements of the National Environmental Policy Act in their planning and approval of the proposed twenty mile, $700 million widening project.
Boston Globe
August 31, 2007
I-93 widening in N.H. set back
By James Vaznis, Globe Staff
The widening of Interstate 93 in southern New Hampshire will be delayed again, after a federal district court judge ordered state and federal highway officials yesterday to further study the environmental consequences of the project.
US District Judge Paul Barbadoro said the highway departments used out-dated population projections in their federal environmental impact report to evaluate the effect of a wider highway on air and secondary roads. The agencies failed to include the estimated 35,000 people who are expected to move to New Hampshire because of the wider highway, Barbadoro said.
The $750 million project, on and off the drawing board for nearly two decades, would double the number of lanes to four on each side of a 20-mile stretch between Salem and Manchester, a popular corridor for New Hampshire residents who work in Massachusetts and Bay State residents who vacation in the White Mountains.
More than 110,000 vehicles travel the highway each day, more than twice the volume the highway was designed to carry when it was built in the early 1960s.
New Hampshire highway officials had hoped to begin construction next summer, but now do not know how long the additional study could delay the project.
"We're still trying to digest what it all means," said Bill Boynton, New Hampshire Transportation Department spokesman. "On one hand, we are encouraged that some elements in the case have been dismissed, but on the other hand, we need to go back and do some work."
The Conservation Law Foundation, which filed the lawsuit in February 2006, applauded the decision, although it will continue pushing for a commuter rail as part of the project.
Barbadoro agreed with highway officials that building a commuter rail line from Manchester to Massachusetts would not reduce traffic flow on I-93 enough to scale back the project to three lanes. Adding commuter rail would have added a whole other round of regulatory approvals with Massachusetts.
The ruling pointed out that the most heavily traveled section of the road, at the New Hampshire-Massachusetts state line, will experience severe congestion by 2020, even with the four lanes.
"Our hope is in the end this additional review will show that widening to four lanes is not a wise investment of public dollars and we need a more balanced approach to address traffic along this corridor that includes rail," said Tom Irwin, a staff attorney in the Conservation Law Foundation's New Hampshire office.
The delay comes as New Hampshire grapples with a serious shortfall of transportation project dollars. The state Transportation Department recently announced that its 10-year list of priority projects will take 35 years to complete, and putting off a ground-breaking for the I-93 widening project will only add to the costs. In the last five years, the project's price tag has nearly doubled.
Highway officials say there is an urgent need to address the heavy traffic, which causes miles of back-ups and frequent fender-benders for commuters and weekend travelers.
Also, 18 of the 47 bridges in that area are structurally deficient. The project received the federal go-ahead in 2005.
But many environmentalists and residents worry that the wider highway might further expedite growth in southern New Hampshire, where acres of farmlands and woodlands have been transformed into subdivisions.
The anticipated residential growth is expected to stretch much farther north than Manchester, with even the state's capital, Concord, feeling the effects.
© Copyright 2007 The New York Times Company
Global Meltdown
By Andrew Revkin, July & August 2007
It’s becoming a legacy issue for older Americans: what type of planet are we leaving our children? One of the nation’s top reporters on the environment reveals the latest science behind climate change.
KANGERLUSSUAQ, GREENLAND
I’m staring up at the crumbling edge of the frozen white cap cloaking most of this vast Arctic island. The ice is thousands of years old, yet melting relentlessly in the bright May sunshine, sending a torrent of gray water to the sea. With me is Joe McConnell, a snow scientist who just spent three weeks drilling samples from the ice sheet, which extends over an area four times the size of California and is almost two miles high at its peak.
McConnell, 49, an expert on the world’s frozen places, is from—of all places—the Desert Research Institute in Reno, Nevada. That incongruity isn’t so jarring when he explains that many of the world’s driest communities, from the Andes to the American Southwest, are home to the billion-plus people who get much of their water from mountain snow and glaciers.
The ice-gouged, U-shaped valleys around us, now covered with lichens and shrubs, show that the earth’s climate has changed naturally for billions of years, ever since there’s been an atmosphere. Great warmings and coolings have sent ocean levels rising and falling as enormous amounts of water were locked in glaciers or released like the flows we see here in Greenland.
But the current warming trend is happening much faster than previous hot spells, says McConnell, and none of the forces that usually affect climate—such as variations in the sun’s strength—are in sync with this recent change. Should these patterns continue, he believes, the consequences are clear. “If Greenland melted, it’d raise sea levels by twenty feet,” he explains. “There goes most of the Mississippi embayment. There go the islands in the South Pacific. Bangladesh is obliterated. Manhattan would have to put up dikes.” A similar amount of ice is vulnerable in western Antarctica, another focus of McConnell’s work. While this would most likely be a slow-motion sea change taking many centuries, gases being pumped into the atmosphere by cars, planes, factories, and power plants could raise the odds of such a shift.
“There’s definitely a lot of melting going on,” McConnell says, flinching as a crack echoes from the warming white ice cliff above and a towering slab tilts.
Welcome to life on the frontlines of climate change.
For nearly 20 years I’ve been reporting on the extraordinary idea that humans, mainly by burning billions of tons of fossil fuels, are nudging the planet’s thermostat by adding to the atmosphere’s see-through blanket of carbon dioxide and other “greenhouse gases,” which traps some of the sun’s energy. This quest has taken me from the shrinking sea ice at the North Pole to the burning forests of the Amazon, from the fraught political battlegrounds of Washington to the tenuous sands of the Maldives, a string of islets in the Indian Ocean where a sea level rise of a couple of feet—a real prospect in a warming century—could render the country uninhabitable. In all my time covering this issue, I’ve never seen the debate as heated as it is now, with talk show hosts, politicians, moviemakers, and novelists alternately claiming human-caused warming is a planetary emergency or a hoax.
But beneath the volleys of sound bites are real people with real concerns. When I give talks on global warming, quite a few of my over-50 peers in the audience remark that this is, at its heart, an issue of legacy. It is our children’s climate, and our grandchildren’s, that is being shaped by the building greenhouse effect. One disturbing part of that legacy is this: while half the gas billowing from smokestacks and tailpipes is typically absorbed by the oceans or plants each year, the rest remains stashed in the air for a century or longer, building like unpaid credit card debt.
NEW YORK CITY
In the intellectual equivalent of a pro-wrestling “smackdown,” two teams of combatants enter a plush, packed auditorium on the Upper East Side for a debate titled “Global Warming Is Not a Crisis,” staged by a group called Intelligence Squared U.S.
The climate-change debunkers include Richard S. Lindzen, 67, a meteorologist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who claims that human-caused warming is inconsequential, and Michael Crichton, 64, the novelist and moviemaker. Crichton stirred the climate debate with a 2004 novel, State of Fear, in which the bad guys were radical environmentalists trying to scare the world about global warming in order to line their pockets. Opposed are three climate scientists: one from NASA, one from a leading university, and one from a private group called the Union of Concerned Scientists. Most of the night focuses on their differences, mainly concerning the value of quick, aggressive cuts in greenhouse gas emissions.
Richard C.J. Somerville, 66, a veteran University of California, San Diego, climatologist, attacks the “not a crisis” position. “[A crisis] does not mean catastrophe or alarmism,” he says. “It means a crucial or decisive moment, a turning point, a state of affairs in which a decisive change for better or worse is imminent. Our task tonight is to persuade you that global warming is indeed a crisis in exactly that sense. The science warns us that continuing to fuel the world using present technology will bring dangerous and possibly surprising climate changes by the end of this century, if not sooner.”
But Crichton insists that pressing real-time problems trump an iffy, long-term one. “Every day 30,000 people on this planet die of the diseases of poverty,” he tells the crowd. “A third of the planet doesn’t have electricity. We have a billion people with no clean water. We have half a billion people going to bed hungry every night. Do we care about this? It seems that we don’t. It seems that we would rather look a hundred years into the future than pay attention to what’s going on now.”
What’s largely lost in the sparring—Crichton’s team prevails in an audience vote—is that the debate has not been about whether humans are contributing to rising temperatures. Crichton and Lindzen, both of whom consider former vice president Al Gore and his allies alarmists, readily agree that human-generated greenhouse gases warm the earth. Indeed, the list of people accepting the need to cut these gases includes former foes of environmentalists. One convert is evangelist Pat Robertson, who said on his 700 Club TV program last year that “it is getting hotter and the ice caps are melting and there is a buildup of carbon dioxide in the air.… We really need to do something on fossil fuels.” Another conservative taking warming seriously is former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. “The evidence is sufficient,” he said in April, “that we should move toward the most effective possible steps to reduce carbon loading of the atmosphere.”
What’s driving the change in attitudes is a steadily growing body of scientific evidence on human activities and warming. A report released earlier this year by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change—made up of hundreds of the world’s leading climate experts—said with 90 percent certainty that most of the warming since 1950 has been driven by the buildup of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. The report concluded with “high confidence” that human-caused climate change was already affecting regional conditions from the poles to the Tropics, and that hundreds of millions of people could be harmed by coastal flooding, dwindling water supplies, and shifting weather patterns within a few decades. The changes could also drive many species toward extinction, particularly those with rapidly shrinking habitats, such as polar bears. Warming in this century, by many estimates, could be between three and eight times the warming in the 20th century, when the planet’s average temperature rose just over one degree Fahrenheit in all. The United States was among 113 countries that endorsed the report.
The new report also predicts a mix of consequences, not all bad. More rainfall and longer growing seasons will likely benefit higher latitudes for decades, while less rainfall and harsher droughts are likely in some of the world’s poorest places—most notably, Africa. An open-water Arctic Ocean in summers, while posing a threat to polar bears, could create new intercontinental shipping lanes thousands of miles shorter than existing ones.
What the debate comes down to is not whether changes are coming but when they’ll occur—and how severe they’ll be. There is serious scientific disagreement about such vital questions as how fast and far temperatures, seas, and storm strength could rise. Warmer waters, for example, could lead to more Katrina-strength hurricanes. Yet new studies find that hurricanes might be torn apart by wind conditions associated with, yes, rising temperatures. This uncertainty is not humanity’s friend, experts say, especially as the global population crests in coming decades, putting ever more people at risk of flooding, famine, and other climate-driven threats.
“We’re altering the environment far faster than we can possibly predict the consequences,” says Stephen H. Schneider, 62, a Stanford University climatologist who has been working on the puzzle of humans and climate for more than half his life.
Schneider has long believed that responding to the greenhouse challenge is as much about hedging against uncertain risks as it is about dealing with what is clearly known. And the risks, as he sees it, are clear: there is a real chance things could be much worse than the midrange projections of a few degrees of warming in this century—and any thought that more science will magically clarify what lies ahead is probably wishful thinking.
When he lectures about global warming these days, Schneider often asks listeners about a more familiar risk. “How many of you have had a serious fire in your home?” he begins. In a crowd of 300 or so, usually three or four hands rise.
His next question: “How many of you buy fire insurance?”
Hundreds of hands go up.
For Schneider that pattern shows how well people deal with uncertain but potentially calamitous risks in their daily lives. The trick lies in transferring that same behavior to dealing with a risk facing our common home—the planet itself.
PASADENA, CALIFORNIA
I’m standing in a cramped lab at the California Institute of Technology, squinting at a blinding light. It’s visible through a small glass port in the side of a metal furnace where scientists are cooking up a new kind of device for turning sunlight into electricity. Inside, atoms of metals are being deposited onto minute rods in ways that could someday boost the efficiency of solar panels.
Solar power is widely seen as the sole alternative energy source that is abundant enough—and someday could be cheap enough—to eventually supplant fossil fuels. Windmills, while effective in certain conditions, face problems at large scale. In Texas, for example, the hottest days—which prompt the biggest surge in power use—tend to be the least windy. Nuclear power, while producing few emissions, has its own problem of scale. Princeton experts recently estimated that the world would need nearly 900 new nuclear power plants in the next 45 years just to reduce the expected carbon dioxide release by 10 percent in that time.
And so research sites like this one in Pasadena are the critical, yet largely overlooked, battlefronts in the global warming war. In the mist-draped hills of New Haven, West Virginia, engineers and scientists have drilled more than 9,000 feet beneath one of the country’s giant coal-fired power plants to see whether layers of rock can provide a repository for vast amounts of CO2 released as the coal burns. In the “biology building” at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory outside Denver, special strains of algae slosh like pea soup in racks of beakers under bright lights. In certain conditions these algae can generate bubbles of hydrogen, a tantalizing substitute for fossil fuels if it can be produced cheaply and cleanly. So far, the gas has been produced in teacup amounts.
The gulf between such embryonic efforts and what’s needed to avoid a buildup of greenhouse gases remains wide, despite statements by politicians of both parties about solving U.S. energy and climate problems. Funding for such research peaked in the United States and abroad during the oil shocks of the 1970s, then dwindled. It has never grown since—only Japan has sustained investment in such research. Scientists at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory were heartened when $34 million of new money was included in their latest science budget last year. But Arthur J. Nozik, 71, a chemical physicist there, notes that this is roughly the cost of one F-18 jetfighter. In the end, only $8 million was authorized by Congress in 2007.
The challenge of shifting to new energy options is made vastly more difficult because the world’s existing energy system—85 percent based on coal, oil, and other fossil fuels—is so integrated into modern life. “We already have electricity coming out of everybody’s wall socket,” says Nathan S. Lewis, 51, a chemistry professor who codirects the Powering the Planet project at Caltech. “This is not a new function we’re seeking. It’s a substitution. It’s not like NASA sending a man to the moon. It’s like finding a new way to send a man to the moon when Southwest Airlines is already flying there every hour handing out peanuts.”
Numerous experts say the only way to propel such a change is with taxes on fuels that produce the most greenhouse gases, or new emission-reduction treaties, such as the Kyoto Protocol (which the United States did not ratify), or bills—like many being discussed on Capitol Hill—that require emissions reductions. But there are major political impediments, both globally and domestically. And do Americans have the stomach for higher taxes and heating bills? Perhaps, says Peter Schwartz, 61, who analyzes risks for corporations and the government, if we see global warming as a security threat—one that could create calamities ranging from large-scale migrations to conflicts over food and water.
With or without new laws or taxes, the need for technological advances is vital, says Martin I. Hoffert, 69, a physics professor at New York University. Hoffert has testified repeatedly before Congress about the lack of investment in energy research—efforts that could help avoid oil wars, lower energy costs, and help poorer countries advance without overheating the planet.
“Technology evolution is like biological evolution,” he says. “Most mutations, like most innovative technologies, don’t survive. But without mutations, evolution stops. It only takes one transistor to change the world.” And it won’t necessarily cost a fortune: John Holdren, 63, an energy and climate expert at Harvard, says that a rise in the federal gas tax of 2.5 cents a gallon would triple the federal energy-research budget.
Meanwhile, the demand for energy worldwide is increasing, and not only in such countries as India and China. Two billion people still cook meals on firewood or dried dung, and more than 1.5 million of those—mainly women and children—die young from breathing clouds of indoor smoke. In a world heading toward 9 billion or more people by 2042 who either are born into—or dream of—our plugged-in, air-conditioned, frequent-flier lifestyle, revolutionary new energy sources are needed.
It may be that what we face is less a climate crisis than an energy challenge. Many experts believe the key to limiting climate risks and solving a host of momentous problems—including the end of abundant oil—is to begin an ambitious quest for new ways to conserve, harvest, and store energy without creating pollution.
Harnessing the power of the sun remains the Holy Grail of most energy experts. But research on solar technologies remains tiny in scale, though the potential has been clear for decades.
Consider this incredibly prescient quote: “I’d put my money on the sun and solar energy. What a source of power! I hope we don’t have to wait until oil and coal run out before we tackle that.”
The year? 1931. The speaker? Thomas Edison.
“The biggest challenge is how to get people to wake up and realize this is a one-shot deal,” says Caltech’s solar guru, Lewis. “If we fail, we are witting participants in the biggest experiment that humans have ever done: moving CO2 levels to more than twice their value in the past 670,000 years and hoping it turns out okay for generations to come.”
Andrew Revkin is a reporter with The New York Times and the author of The North Pole Was Here: Puzzles and Perils at the Top of the World (Houghton Mifflin, 2006), the first book on global climate change written for both children and adults. His stories on global warming can be found at www.nytimes.com/revkin.
IEA sees oil supply crunch looming
By Alex Lawler Mon Jul 9, 2007
LONDON (Reuters) - World oil demand will rise faster than expected to 2012 while production lags, leading to a supply crunch, the International Energy Agency said on Monday.
In its Medium-Term Oil Market Report, the adviser to 26 industrialized countries said demand will rise by an average 2.2 percent a year between 2007 and 2012, up from a previous medium-term forecast of 2 percent.
The outlook, which updates an IEA forecast last issued in February, coincides with a jump in oil prices to more than $75 a barrel, closing in on a record high near $79, on concerns of a tightening market.
"Despite four years of high oil prices, this report sees increasing market tightness beyond 2010," the IEA said.
"It is possible that the supply crunch could be deferred -- but not by much."
The IEA's previous Medium-Term report called for world demand growth of 2 percent a year between 2006 and 2011.
It now expects global demand to reach 95.8 million barrels per day (bpd) from 86.1 million bpd in
2007. The forecast assumes average global GDP growth of 4.5 percent annually.
"The results of our analysis are quite strong," said Lawrence Eagles, head of the IEA's Oil Industry and Markets Division. "Something needs to happen."
"Either we need to have more supplies coming on stream or we need to have lower demand growth."
The Paris-based IEA also said additional global refining capacity over the next five years will lag earlier expectations as rising costs and a shortage of engineers delay construction.
It said world production of biofuels would reach 1.75 million bpd by 2012, more than double 2006 levels, but the fuel will remain marginal as economics hobble further growth.
LOWER OPEC CAPACITY
Oil prices pared an earlier loss after the report was released. Brent crude was unchanged at $75.62 a barrel as of 1247 GMT.
The report points to a greater reliance on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, source of more than a third of the world's oil.
While foreseeing higher demand, the IEA expects less supply to come from producers outside OPEC and the agency also trimmed a forecast for the 12-member group's unused production capacity.
"A stronger demand outlook, together with project slippage and geopolitical problems has led to downward revisions of OPEC spare capacity by 2 million bpd in 2009," said the report.
The forecast assumes no net expansion of capacity from Iran, Iraq and Venezuela and that the 500,000 bpd of Nigerian production that has been shut for a year will not reopen during the next five years.
Ten OPEC members began cutting production last year to stem a drop in prices. The IEA in its Monthly Oil Market Report has for the past four months urged OPEC to open the taps to avoid over-tightening the market.
Some analysts say the agency is being alarmist and that its warnings about supplies are actually leading to higher prices.
"The International Energy Agency has put such a fear premium in the market that crude futures remain bought no matter what," said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix.
The IEA said fundamentals of supply and demand are prompting price gains.
"The simple thing is we are there to project the market as we see it," Eagles said. "The price response is due to fundamentals. We are simply pointing out the fundamentals. That's our job."
PLATEAU OIL
The IEA trimmed its forecast for supply from non-OPEC producers by 800,000 bpd in 2011, partly because of project delays, and touched on the thorny subject that oil supplies are nearing a peak.
"Certainly our forecast suggests that the non-OPEC, conventional crude component of global production appears, for now, to have reached an effective plateau, rather than a peak," the report said.
Falling output at ageing fields and setbacks such as 2005's hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico have slowed growth in non-OPEC output in recent years.
Lower supply from non-OPEC countries and rising demand will boost the requirement for OPEC oil.
The IEA said demand for OPEC crude, or the call on OPEC, will rise to 34.7 million bpd in 2011, up 1.3 million bpd from the previous projection.
Rail service group votes to oust chief
Authority gave ex-lawmaker a contract in June
By Kevin Flynn, Rocky Mountain News July 7, 2007
The group working to bring high-speed commuter rail service to Colorado on Friday ousted the leader who organized the effort nearly three years ago.
The board of the Rocky Mountain Rail Authority, which only last month approved a contract with former state Rep. Bob Briggs to be its executive director, voted 8-4 to terminate Briggs' contract.
Board Chairman Harry Dale said the move is about Briggs' promotion of specific projects and activities without board approval.
Dale says that could create a conflict of interest for the authority since it is supposed to be approaching an upcoming feasibility study with an unbiased position.
Briggs says it's about Dale wanting to run the authority and put more emphasis on a rail transit system to serve the Interstate 70 mountain corridor than the I-25 Front Range urban corridor. Dale is a Clear Creek County commissioner who has advocated an electrified high-speed train between Denver and the mountain communities where he lives.
The authority is made up of 30 cities, counties and transit agencies around the state - 10 of them admitted as members at the same Friday meeting.
Twelve voting board members terminated Briggs' contract by an 8-4 vote. The nays came from metro Denver members Arapahoe County, Thornton, Weld County and RTD.
Dale said even thought he board had approved Briggs' contract last month, it felt he had continued to compromise the authority's need to be neutral while entering into a contract with the Colorado Department of Transportation for a feasibility study that would determine whether a rail system could work.
"There've just been some problems and we hoped they would be addressed," Dale said. But he said Briggs continued to set up activities with the political group. "This kind of thing hurts our credibility," Dale said.
Briggs and Bernie Zimmer, president of the Colorado Rail Association, denied there was any mixing of their missions. Zimmer's group would be the entity that would advocate for rail in any future statewide election over funding, while the authority cannot engage in political activity.
"Bernie Zimmer and I talk on a regular basis," Briggs said. "But we both understand the difference between the two organizations."
Briggs started the commuter rail effort in November 2004, after Denver area voters approved the FasTracks transit measure, to try to link a statewide commuter rail network to the metro system. It envisioned a commuter rail line that would eventually extend from Cheyenne or even Casper, Wyo., to Albuquerque.
flynnk@RockyMountainNews.com or 303-954-5247
What's Up With Gas Prices?
by Randy Udall, ASPO-USA
Randy Udall served as a panelist for a 2005 Our Future Summit forum on gas prices-ED Visiting a gas station these days is like going in for a root canal. First comes procrastination, followed by dread, and then "open wide." There's no laughter at the pumps anymore. The Toot 'n' Moo is as somber as a morgue, full of glum motorists mourning the demise of cheap gasoline. Spending $75 used to be a penance reserved for truckers, but now everyone can tithe. Take your pick: Shell, Exxon, Chevron, they are all eager to drill your wallet.
I've been thinking about energy, trying to make sense of energy trends and energy appetites and the main conclusion I've reached is that energy is an IQ test that we Americans tend to fail.
Because our continent was a great piñata, stuffed with coal, oil, and natural gas, we've never developed an energy ethic. An English poet once wrote that energy was "eternal delight." But for an American to put "energy" and "ethic" into the same sentence seems revolutionary, the breaking of a taboo.
The value of land we have long understood. The value of energy we never have.
America invented the hot dog, baseball, and the national park. Yellowstone dates to 1872. Teddy Roosevelt got the national forests going a century ago. Aldo Leopold published Sand County Almanac in 1949, urging us to "think like a mountain." With the Endangered Species Act, we took Noah out of the Bible and put him into law. Some ranchers hate the ESA, but it was the first right-to-life act.
It is peak driving season, and Americans are on the move. (A typical motorist drives the distance to the Moon every 20 years.) With oil over $70, CNBC invited me to do an interview on a low-grade, high-ash proto-petroleum otherwise known as oil shale. This was one of those biz shows, with a crawling stock ticker, and traders drunk on high-octane currency flows.
The opening gambit hasn't changed for a century: "There's a trillion barrels of oil shale in Colorado, more oil than in all of Arabia, enough oil to run this country for the next 100 years, when are you redneck hayseeds going to unlock that prize?"
The only people more clueless about energy than politicians are reporters. "There's more energy in a ton of Cap'n Crunch than in a ton of oil shale," I replied. "Oil shale provides just one ten-thousandth of world energy, far less than animal dung, and prospects for expansion are poor."
As the camera cut back to the trading pit, I tried to frame our dilemma in a way he might understand. "You're selling dollars, yen, euros, and gold, but energy is the original currency." I could have been shouting down a well.
Later that day I got an email from a retired Saudi oil executive. There's been a lot of blog speculation about declining production at Ghawar, the Kingdom's largest field. I asked this oil man for the real scoop.
The Saudis have done Yankee bidding for a long time, but this guy offered only tough love. "There has been a paradigm shift in the energy world," he wrote. "Oil producers are no longer inclined to exhaust their resource for the sake of accelerating the misuse of a precious commodity."
This is what the pump price is trying to tell you. That twenty nations produce 85% of the world's oil. That production in half of those countries is flat or declining. That Chavez in Venezuela and Putin in Russia have figured out that they can make more money by pumping less oil. Which is the flip side of the value proposition at your local Kum 'n' Go.
What remains is a bumper crop of clueless politicians. Wisconsin Senator Herb Kohl wants to sue the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. New Mexico Senator Pete Domenici, who has spent decades crusading against fuel efficiency standards, fatuously claims that "oil shale will rock the world," putting the fear of God into the Arabs.
For all the happy talk about energy independence, only eight states, including five in the Rockies, produce more energy than they consume. The others are as helpless as patients in intensive care. The risk is that these parasites will, over the coming decades, suck us dry, leaving our landscapes as eviscerated as Halloween pumpkins.
When it comes to energy, Americans resemble spoiled children who are used to always getting their way. Since the oil is in the Mideast, and its most avaricious consumers are here, it might be useful to run Phoenix or L.A. like Baghdad for a week or two. Close the pumps, turn the power off, let the taps run dry, and see what gives. We'd quickly relearn that civilization is a thin veneer, that energy invented comfort and wealth, and that decades of clueless policies have now put prosperity at risk.
The American land ethic is based on the common sense idea that they "aren't making anymore." So too, it seems, with energy.
Randy Udall directs CORE, a non-profit energy office in Carbondale, Colorado. He's also a co-founder of ASPO-USA, a nonpartisan, proactive effort to encourage prudent energy management, constructive community transformation, and cooperative initiatives during an era of depleting petroleum resources.
New CDOT Director Supports Mass Transit In Mountains
POSTED: 6:37 am MDT June 24, 2007
GLENWOOD SPRINGS, Colo. -- The new director of the Colorado Department of Transportation says the state can't solve the Interstate 70 mountain problem with pavement.
Russell George, a former House speaker and executive director of the Colorado Division of Wildlife, said an ongoing transportation study to deal with ski and summer vacation traffic must include a rail component.
In the past, CDOT officials have said rail is too expensive, as much as $7 or $8 billion.
"They will likely say (the department) can do highways, but it can do other things, too," he said at a meeting Friday. "Yes, we need to have rail, we need more trails and transit. There's no question in my mind that we want that."
He said that means his department will have to find the money to build a mass transit line while meeting the state's current transportation needs.
Communities along the road have opposed building more lanes, both because of frequent rock slides and snowstorms that would close them, and the noise. At times it is almost impossible for residents of one end of Clear Creek County to get to the other.
In 1973, when the Eisenhower Tunnel opened, traffic was less than 8,000. This year it averages 30,391 daily.
Vail tried imposing slower speed limits to reduce tire noise from the horde of vehicles, as well as installing sound barriers. Some residents installed air conditioning to cut summer noise — an oddity at 8,000-feet elevation.
George noted his department only has a $1.1 billion budget, and there are an additional $100 billion in near-term needs.
George said construction costs continue to rise, going up 15 to 30 percent annually.
"The general public will have to make the ultimate decision" on how the state's transportation projects are funded, he said. "Transportation is the hardest issue to explain to everyday citizens, too."
Colorado voters rejected funding for even a study of such a system in 2001.
George praised the Roaring Fork Valley for its success with passenger bus service and high-occupancy-vehicle lanes on Colorado Highway 82 between Aspen and its bedroom communities.
Richardson says light rail could transform L.A., other cities
By Michael R. Blood
ASSOCIATED PRESS
6:49 p.m. June 11, 2007
WEST HOLLYWOOD – In the nation's capital of gridlock, Democratic presidential candidate Bill Richardson promised Monday to create a partnership to build a light rail network and help untangle the Los Angeles region's notorious traffic.
With gas prices rising and roadways jammed, Richardson said it was time to rethink a federal transportation policy that pumps billions of dollars into new roads each year. Mass transit, he said, will be the best, cleanest way to move metropolitan residents in the future.
If elected, he said he would “make it a major effort to refocus transportation construction of roads into light rail and more energy efficient transportation,” the New Mexico governor told reporters at a news conference.
“I would make light rail at least an equal partner” with highways, he said. With more rail and clean-running buses, “it's going to improve the quality of life in this country.”
Richardson provided few specifics about funding, but said the construction would be financed with bonds backed by the state and federal government.
In his home state, Richardson started a commuter rail project, the Rail Runner Express, that runs along a 50-mile stretch through the state's most populous city, Albuquerque. It is not light rail; it uses existing track and conventional engines and cars. The nearly $400 million project also includes a planned extension north to Santa Fe, the capital, to help ease roadway congestion.
Richardson said the Bush White House has been “absent” when it comes to developing light rail, high-speed trains and other cleaner-running transportation systems in big cities. He said vast sums of money are siphoned off for pork-barrel road projects, which are of questionable value.
“I believe light rail is for the future,” he said. “The president can be a partner, working with state and city and local communities in joint funding.”
Denver Post
perspective
Colorado's travel crisis
Roads aging faster than we can fix them
By Robert MacDonald and Jennifer Schaufele
Article Last Updated: 06/02/2007 03:12:18 PM MDT
Colorado is in a crisis, one that has been brewing for decades and is hardly invisible. Our transportation system - roads, bridges, tunnels, buses, airports and rail - is in acute need of repair and expansion to accommodate our growing communities. And we are not alone.
Across the country, states are grappling with how to improve their aging transportation networks, provide more public transportation and reduce congestion, while the primary funding source - the gas tax - remains flat. In Colorado, the gas tax simply is not keeping pace with escalating needs and the rising cost of materials.
Since the late 1990s, the Colorado General Assembly has worked to mitigate this looming problem by directing, through state law, excess revenue from the general fund into transportation, in addition to the traditional gas tax. This only occurs, however, if the general fund reaches its 6 percent annual growth limit, known as the Arveschoug-Bird limit, triggering the flow of funding into transportation.
So what's the big deal? Some believe transportation is already a cash cow, awash in money. Others question the wisdom and prudence of spending scarce dollars on transportation when other programs such as higher education remain underfunded.
Here's why all Coloradans should care:
If current trends in need and cost continue over the next two decades, Colorado will have to spend more than $160 billion (nine times the state's current annual budget) just to maintain the existing transportation system.
What does that existing system look like? Today, only 63 percent of our highways are in good or fair condition, more than 100 bridges need to be replaced at a cost of $877 million, and tunnels like the one in Glenwood Canyon require multimillion-dollar repairs. Current projections show the state will likely receive less than half of $160 billion from existing revenue sources, which means by 2035, only 25 percent of our highways will be left in good or fair condition.
Enter traffic congestion. According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, nationwide congestion costs are growing faster than the gross domestic product. In Colorado, that cost breaks down to $1.2 billion a year.
It's not just urban areas, either, that are facing traffic issues. Congestion is growing at faster rates in rural areas and small cities.
In two decades, Colorado's population will climb to 7 million. Without a significant investment in transportation, population growth will compound existing capacity and maintenance problems and increase the average delay per commuter to 70 minutes a day. This is bad news for business as "just-in-time" delivery strategies require shorter and more frequent trips.
With such staggering need, is Colorado spending enough? Twenty years ago, transportation expenditures accounted for 11 percent of the state budget; last year, transportation consumed only 6 percent. While 6 percent still adds up to a great deal of money, it represents only a fraction of what is needed to maintain, let alone enhance, our highways and transit systems. It takes $50 million just to build 17 miles of a two-lane highway or $25 million to build an average interchange.
Then there's the issue of maintenance. Every $1 million used for new construction eventually requires an additional $6.5 million in maintenance over the life of a facility.
The funding situation is also grim at the federal level. By 2009, the Highway Trust Fund, which provides 40 percent of Colorado's transportation dollars, will become bankrupt. For Colorado's metropolitan areas (Denver, Colorado Springs, Fort Collins-Greeley, Pueblo and Grand Junction), that translates into major project cuts from regional transportation plans.
Both on the campaign trail and now in office, Gov. Bill Ritter has made solving the transportation crisis a pillar of his policy agenda. Last month, he hosted a transportation summit to kick-start his newly appointed panel on transportation finance and implementation that will assess all options for creating a stable, reliable source of revenue. The final recommendations of this panel will likely require Coloradans to make some important decisions - however difficult - about how to invest in transportation.
As the governor stated recently, "We must explore new ways to prioritize our transportation needs and secure sustainable funding sources for a 21st century transportation system." Doing nothing is not an option.
The authors reflect the views of the five metro planning organizations in Colorado: the Pikes Peak Area Council of Governments, Denver Regional Council of Governments, North Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization, Mesa County Regional Transportation Office and Pueblo Area Council of Governments.


CDOT Reconsidering Trains Along I-70?
Tue May 22, 2007 at 10:21:06 AM

Last week, Colorado Department of Transportation head Russell George announced that the agency would be reexamining its stance that highway widening is the “preferred alternative” for addressing gridlock along the I-70 mountain corridor.
Eight years ago C-DOT began a study of end the bumper-to-bumper traffic along the highway. Over the coming years, the Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement, or PEIS, outraged environmentalists and stakeholders who favored a transit solution – like an elevated, high-speed train or monorail. Since then-Governor Bill Owens preferred highway widening, they saw the study as biased in that direction. And in 2004, a draft was released that listed highway widening as the “preferred alternative” for I-70 because its estimated cost fell under the $4 billion cost cap CDOT had arbitrarily set. An advanced guideway system, such as a monorail, was deemed unfeasible because it would cost more than $4 billion.
More recently, when I contacted CDOT about the $25 million, still unfinished study and the Rocky Mountain Rail Authority’s plans to get high-speed rail along the corridor (“Rail Roaded,” March 15), I was told by George and Region I Director Jeff Kullman that six-lane widening was still the “preferred alternative,” but that during the expansion CDOT would preserve a corridor to add transit later. (Likely in twenty years when the highway would be finished.) Governor Bill Ritter, however, was less confident about the recommendation in the pending study. He told me that no decision was final.
Last week, George announced that CDOT would be re-examining the recommendation in the PEIS. He said communities had been shut out of the study process too soon and that a project without their support would struggle to attract the necessary funding. CDOT spokeswoman Stacey Stegman explained that a neutral facilitator will now be selected through the US Institute for Environmental Conflict Resolution to lead a collaborative stakeholder process, though the agency has yet to determine what that process will look like. “The study will not start over,” she said. “We’ll be looking at alternatives already listed in the study to see what we might have missed, where we have common ground.”
Clear Creek County Commissioner Harry Dale, a vocal CDOT critic and transit supporter, had previously threatened legal action against the agency if highway widening with preservation for transit was offered as the final I-70 recommendation. Now Dale says he’s impressed with the governor and his head of transportation. “[George ] should be commended for his insight, vision and courage to place the PEIS process on hold and bring the stakeholders back to the table,” Dale said.
“Ultimately, if a state sponsored public project will spend billions of taxpayer dollars, it better have broad based public support. Both the Governor and Mr. George clearly recognize that the PEIS process to date does not have the necessary public support to produce a positive outcome. It is unfortunate that the previous administration chose to exclude key stakeholders from participating in the decision making process and ignore years of public opposition to the both the PEIS process and the PEIS outcomes. Had the Owens Administration actually empowered stakeholders and included them in the formation and selection of alternatives, this study may have produced a positive outcome for all stakeholders much more rapidly and for much less than the $25 million spent to date. Clear Creek County looks forward to the consensus building process and believes that it will produce a positive outcome.”
CDOT hopes to release a final recommendation for the I-70 mountain corridor by the end of the year. -- Jessica Centers
CDOT takes new look at fixing jams on I-70
CDOT has put the brakes on its study of how to fix Interstate 70's mountain traffic jams, bowing to pressure from communities opposed to a widening-only approach. Russ George, executive director of the Colorado Department of Transportation, is under orders to mend fences with communities.
By Kevin Flynn, Rocky Mountain News May 18, 2007
CDOT has put the brakes on its study of how to fix Interstate 70's mountain traffic jams, bowing to pressure from communities opposed to a widening-only approach.
Russ George, executive director of the Colorado Department of Transportation, said Thursday that going forward with an alternative that lacks consistent support in the communities most affected is a formula for failure.
Projects that don't have community support have a harder time attracting the funds necessary to complete them.
George said his marching orders from Gov. Bill Ritter were to mend fences with communities that felt shut out of studies and to speed up work on projects that were stalling.
"When I got here, it was clear that as decisions were being made, we left our friends and constituents out along the way," said George, who took over CDOT in January after Ritter took office. "We shut them out too soon, and they didn't like it and it probably wasn't right. It gave the appearance that the decision was pre-ordained."
CDOT's seven-year, $25 million study on the 155 miles of I-70 from Golden to Glenwood Springs zeroed in on widening to six lanes but only preserving a space for a future undefined transit system.
People from Idaho Springs to the Vail Valley, as well as environmentalists and transit advocates, fought CDOT chief Tom Norton during Gov. Bill Owens' administration over what they saw as a summary rejection of transit.
CDOT considered transit too expensive to have a realistic shot at funding, a requirement to be included in a final study.
Norton had placed an arbitrary $4 billion cap on whatever solution was selected.
George said he has tossed out that cap and will listen to all solutions.
He said CDOT will take a step back in the process to the point where the stakeholders felt they were left out, then move forward again with the assistance of a professional facilitator to help build consensus.
But he added that the process needs to move swiftly and not throw new alternatives on the table. He hopes to have meetings start this summer re-examining earlier proposals and have agreement by the end of the year.
"I can't say I have a consensus decision if I haven't kept the consensus together," he said.
Plus, George said, there's a more pragmatic reason for building greater consensus.
"If my friends in the corridor are happy with me, maybe they will help me find the money to do something up there," he said.
Jeff Kullman, CDOT's regional director for most of the corridor, said Ritter heard complaints about the process from mountain constituents during last year's campaign and sought the change.
"Had there not been a change in administration we might have made an announcement already about the final results of the study," Kullman said. "Now we're going to take a step back. Our ultimate goal is to walk out of this sometime in the months ahead with a solution that everybody can accept."
flynnk@RockyMountainNews.com or 303-954-5247
The I-70 Do-Nothing plan
Vail Daily Editorial Vail CO, Colorado April 29, 2007
In California, they suggest wild ideas for the absurdly congested 101, also known as the Hollywood/Ventura Freeway. One of them includes a double-decker model that would presumably double the amount of traffic that could flow – and which would, presumably, also be bumper-to-bumper on both levels as soon as it’s completed. The reality, everyone knows, is that there will never be money to do such a thing and there’s simply no room to expand the roadway. And even if they did … you get the picture.
A similarly fruitless discussion is occurring in Colorado. Recently, we were shocked — shocked! — to discover from yet another study that congestion on the mountain section of I-70 costs us mountain dwellers a lot of money in lost business, productivity, etc. We also hear that sitting in traffic on either side of the Eisenhower Tunnel makes people so grumpy that they vow to take up squash, bocce ball, Parcheesi — anything but skiing and sitting in those awful traffic jams.
All the solutions stink. They’re either too expensive, cause too much disruption or suggest mass transit that, let’s be honest, stands little chance of being embraced by people towing skis, boots, luggage, kids, etc.
Not to be too cynical, but the Do-Nothing plan may be the most practical solution out there. Rapidly expanding population and an already maxed-out interstate means that even expanding the thing will have limited effect. But when we say “Do-Nothing,” we don’t mean it literally. Other than pie-in-the-sky high-speed rail or changes to the road itself, there’s plenty that can be done to spread traffic out on the existing corridor.
That includes getting the resorts and business community involved in creating incentives to stay over Sunday nights (or at least stay for dinner); more bus and carpool encouragement; and, yes, a toll at the tunnel for peak periods.
For a lot less than a mag-lev train or more lanes, we could create a sophisticated, cooperative transportation plan that makes do with what we have.
Ultimately, this Do-Nothing solution is the only way to fly.
— Alex Miller for the Editorial Board
The cost of doing nothing
Tim Schlough Wildernest April 29, 2007
From someone who works and drives the roads from Vail to Denver on a regular basis, where are the people from out of state? They are here for our destination resorts.
Most of the cars that travel I-70 are from Denver. The studies show that traffic is growing, by the time they finish adding another lane, the traffic will be just as bad. As it is now, it takes an ambulance four hours to get to the city on any given Sunday, three hours when running emergent. Where is the money for the road coming from?
I hear it's from the mountain area, because that's were the people are going, but they all seem to be from the metro area. If they widen the road, where are they going to park these vehicles? They already park the roads at Copper Mountain and Vail on a more frequent basis. This makes it hard to respond to the incidents for all the emergency services.
The increased cost of government services? What about the impact of putting too many people on the slopes? It increases the number of collisions on the hill, and increases the number of patients dealt with by ski patrol and the ambulance service. This is a Band-Aid fix on another problem associated with growth.
Writers on the Range: Driving ourselves crazy, or another traffic tale from the West
BY BILL COOK Writers on the Range April 29, 2007
This winter. my family discovered that Oregon's Mount Hood is known for more than dramatic mountain rescues. Would you believe it could also be called the mother of all traffic jams? Tail lights for as far as the eye could see, gridlock for nearly an hour: That's what the highway through the Mount Hood National Forest becomes on a snowy winter weekend. With five lift-served resorts and numerous backcountry trails within striking distance of the Portland metro area's 2 million inhabitants, the mountain teems with skiers, boarders, snowshoers and sledders when good snow and fair skies coincide.
As the five of us squirmed cheek to jowl inside our compact sedan, my thoughts gravitated toward two seemingly unconnected subjects: Oregon's congressional delegation, and the Swiss transit system.
The leap of consciousness from a traffic jam to our local congressional worthies really wasn't such a stretch. Last year, Reps. Earl Blumenauer, D-Portland, and Greg Walden, R-Hood River, crafted the Mount Hood Stewardship Legacy Act, which included a provision directing the Forest Service to work with the state to develop "an integrated, multi-modal transportation plan for the Mt. Hood region." Planners would look for non-car alternatives such as gondolas and other ways of moving lots of people efficiently to key recreation destinations. Amen to that.
That was promising news - especially if the bill gets anywhere - and it also made me think about my family's recent trip to Switzerland. Two years ago, when our daughter was attending a Swiss university, we spent Christmas in the Alps, and during our entire 18-day stay, we never entered an automobile. Using the nation's integrated transit system, we relied entirely on buses, trains and cable cars to visit cities, villages and world-class snow resorts. It was heaven.
Back home in Oregon, a day trip to the slopes means grueling hours behind the wheel, struggling amid a surging tide of SUVs. But while in Switzerland, we zipped from the lowlands to the heart of the Alps on an ultra-modern train, all the while stretching out comfortably and sipping schokolade.
We also spent a week in one of Switzerland's famous car-free mountain resorts, of which there are nine. Some simply can't be reached by auto; everyone arrives by train or cable car. Others can be accessed by vehicles, but cars and buses are left at the town limits, with the streets reserved for pedestrians and tiny electric taxis. In either case, they draw snow-sport enthusiasts from around the world, and in the summer, they cater to tourists, hikers and climbers.
Could the Swiss model - or something like it - be replicated at Mount Hood or in other resort areas close to Western American cities? A few mountain resorts in North America have incorporated some pedestrian-friendly elements in their town planning; in particular, Whistler, in British Columbia. At least one Western resort, Winter Park, in Colorado, can be reached by train, and most larger resorts sponsor a few buses to bring some of their clientele to the slopes. Coloradoans also talk about a train linking Vail to the Denver area, but when state transportation planners talk about mass transit costing upwards of $4 billion or more, the conversation shifts to expanding the interstate instead.
Nowhere on our continent is there really an "integrated, multi-modal transportation plan" that comes close to what the Swiss have achieved. In the American West, going skiing or boarding almost always involves an uncomfortable, unsafe, gas-guzzling, environmentally unfriendly drive. And that assumes that the roads are even open. This winter, avalanches repeatedly closed Interstate 70 and other roads feeding Colorado ski resorts, and a massive debris flow over Oregon's Highway 35 isolated Hood's largest resort for weeks.
We of the Portland area pride ourselves as being pioneers in environmentally-sound urban transit, with an integrated web of buses, light rail, streetcars and an aerial tram, as well as efforts to encourage walking and cycling. Looking to the Alps for successful planning, why not translate their same approach to Mount Hood and similar Western resort areas? Why do we say we can't afford to do what's right, when spending huge amounts of money only perpetuates what's wrong?
Bill Cook is a contributor to Writers on the Range, a service of High Country News in Paonia (hcn.org). He writes in Lake Oswego, Ore.
"Maglev" trains may be key to congestion
A magnetic levitation rapid transit line along the Interstate 70 corridor could attract travelers to Colorado while also solving traffic problems.
By The Denver Post Editorial Board
Article Last Updated: 04/26/2007 10:56:09 PM MDT
The Regional Transportation District is now considering proposals to create America's first operational magnetic levitation rapid transit line.
A "maglev" line racing from Denver International Airport to Union Station would be a spectacular way to usher travelers into the Mile High City. It might also provide a technological key to unlocking the gridlock on the Interstate 70 mountain corridor - which a recent study said costs the state $839 million a year in lost business and tourism as well as reductions in the quality of life that lures so many citizens to Colorado in the first place.
Maglev is by no means a sure thing for Denver. RTD has merely agreed to review proposals by three different companies to build maglev lines along one or more of the rapid transit corridors approved by voters in 2005 as part of the FasTracks program. It remains to be seen if such advanced systems can be built on time and within the budget allocated to those lines. RTD hopes to finish evaluating the proposals by year's end.
For all its futuristic image, the theory behind magnetic levitation is familiar to any kid who ever pushed two magnets together. Bring unlike poles together, and they'll attract each other. Push like poles together, and they'll push themselves apart. Advanced electromagnetic systems controlled by computers can use the same principle to suspend trains above a frictionless surface while magnetic induction pulls the cars swiftly forwards.
Rapid transit using maglev can be really rapid. In Shanghai, a demonstration line began running in 2004. It can travel the 19 miles to the city's airport in 7 minutes, reaching speeds of 270 miles per hour. The line, using German technology, cost the equivalent of $1.2 billion. But the three contending companies now working with RTD might be willing to help finance the line with a long-term design-build-operate-maintain contract to get a foothold in what could eventually be a huge U.S.market. The federal government might also help underwrite a demonstration if the new technology seems promising.
And if maglev can work in the metro area, tourists and experts alike would obviously urge using it to bring high-speed transit to the congested I-70 mountain corridor, whose steep grades resist traditional steel-wheels on steel-rails service.
RTD is wise to consider this gee-whiz option.
denver & the west
RTD opens door to tech
NEW TALK OF MAGLEV TRAIN
By Jeffrey Leib Denver Post Staff Writer
Article Last Updated: 04/14/2007 11:01:22 PM MDT
RTD's decision to encourage private companies to finance, build and operate FasTracks commuter trains has revived the possibility of a high-tech "maglev" train to DIA, transit officials say.
Maglev refers to magnetic levitation, by which trains elevate over a guideway and are propelled for fast, frictionless travel.
The Regional Transportation District is seeking federal support for a plan to contract with private firms to finance, design, build, operate and maintain as many as four commuter rail lines.
The north metro, northwest, Gold and DIA rail lines will cost more than $2 billion.
RTD is considering private partners for the projects because the FasTracks budget has been caught in a vise between rising construction costs and lower-than-projected sales-tax revenues.
"We'd be remiss if we didn't look at every tool out there," RTD board member David Ruchman said about the agency's consideration of public- private partnerships for FasTracks. "We want to keep faith with the public and deliver everything we promised them."
RTD pledged to voters that all of FasTracks would be completed by 2016, including six new lines and extensions of the southeast light-rail line to Lone Tree and the southwest line to Highlands Ranch. Metro Denver voters endorsed FasTracks in 2004 when they backed an RTD sales-tax increase.
The most intriguing element of quasi-privatization would be the possibility of advanced rail technologies such as maglev for the Denver International Airport line and possibly others.
Private companies have contacted RTD about bidding on the rail partnerships, and some parties have talked about exploring maglev technologies for the DIA train, said RTD general manager Cal Marsella.
For years, promoters of a mass-transit solution for congestion in the Interstate 70 mountain corridor have talked about advanced rail from the Denver area to Vail. Proposals have considered monorail and maglev, but up to now, the Colorado Department of Transportation has shelved all rail alternatives to highway widening because of the higher expense.
It is not clear if private firms can submit a proposal for mag lev or other advanced rail technology for anything close to the $702 million budget that RTD has for the DIA train.
But Marsella said the public- private partnership process "opens opportunities for any and all alternatives" and it will be up to firms to present proposals that meet RTD's needs.
RTD board member Ruchman endorses the exploration of public-private partnerships for bringing FasTracks in on schedule, but he offered a caution: "In our rush to be on time and on budget, I hope we don't sacrifice quality and excellence."
To get started, RTD applied late last month to join the Federal Transit Administration's public-private partnership pilot program, which promotes more extensive links between public transit agencies and private businesses.
The Bush administration is eager for successful projects showing the viability of more private-sector involvement in transit systems.
"We think these arrangements can expedite the design and construction of these projects, improve their performance once constructed and realize cost savings without compromising safety," said FTA chief counsel David Horner, who leads the pilot program.
In its FasTracks finance plan, RTD included the assumption that the federal government would underwrite at least $815 million of the project's $4.7 billion initial total cost.
Typically, transit agencies ask FTA for federal dollars to cover part of a line's cost.
In its application, RTD described how rising construction costs and lower sales-tax forecasts threaten FasTracks.
"The combination of these factors is leading to an overall funding shortfall, which would limit RTD's ability to deliver the program within the time frame approved by the voters of the district in 2004," the agency said.
The depth of problems facing FasTracks became clear in February when a draft analysis of FasTracks finances showed the entire program might cost $2 billion more than planned.
Public-private partnerships for FasTracks rail, supported by FTA, could get RTD back on track, Marsella said. "It presents an opportunity to revise cost estimates downward, which could balance against cost increases we've experienced since we went to the ballot."
Proposals to let private firms design, build, operate and maintain new transportation proj ects are known as DBOM ventures. Government entities often add an F, looking for private financing as well.
"DBOM contracts have been quite common in the highway field," said Ken Orski, who edits a national newsletter that charts innovations in transportation policy. "What FTA is trying to do is adopt the same approach in the field of transit."
Transit agencies save money in public-private arrangements because private companies assume some of the risk of avoiding cost overruns and delivering projects on time, Orski said.
"Contracts can be very tightly written so the transit agency specifies the level of performance, service and maintenance" that private operators must meet, he added.
Staff writer Jeffrey Leib can be reached at 303-954-1645 or jleib@denverpost.com.
Running Like a Clock and Fast
New YorkTimes
April 24, 2007
Author: PAUL BURNHAM FINNEY
On overseas trips, many American business travelers do what is almost unthinkable back home: they take the train. And they board in increasing numbers, as high-speed rail service expands in Europe, China and Japan.
"I wouldn't even consider taking the train in the U.S. except along the Northeast Corridor -- and that might be just a commuter train from North White Plains to New York," said Ralph Smith, who searches the globe for low-cost supplies for the Tennant Company of Minneapolis, a maker of industrial cleaning machines.
"But trains in Europe run like a clock," he said. "They're nice and clean and fast. And the rail staffs are very helpful to Americans who kind of don't know where they're going."
In contrast to the stressful turmoil of airline travel, rail trips, when done right, can be both efficient and civilized, as travelers like Mr. Smith can attest. They can even be cultural when passengers mingle and talk while viewing scenery through picture windows.
"What do you see out the window at 37,000 feet?" French rail executives like to say when they make their pitch.
"Virtually all the big global companies use trains worldwide more than ever," said Bill Connors, executive director and chief operating officer of the National Business Travel Association, a trade group. "They want travelers to be productive and happy. The train takes a lot of the hassle out of going to airports."
Railways are introducing services that make it easier to do business while traveling from one city to another.
"Our first-class cars on most high-speed routes are geared to corporate travelers, with trays for laptops, open or private tables for small meetings, and Wi-Fi we're installing," said Fabrice Morel, president and chief executive of Rail Europe, a marketing group.
Speed is of course one of the major allures of foreign train travel. France's vaunted TGV (Train a Grande Vitesse) streamliners streak along at 180 miles an hour or more. That is about as fast as a commercial airliner on takeoff.
"Europe's expanding high-speed network is redefining short-haul travel," said Guillaume Pepy, chief executive of the National Society of French Railroads, the French rail system.
Recently, the French sent a TGV at a record 357 m.p.h. on test tracks. And they plan to begin high-speed service between Paris and Frankfurt in June that will reduce travel time from about six hours to four on tracks used by both French TGVs and Germany's fast Inter City Express, also known as ICE trains.
China is also getting involved in the speed game. A new magnetic levitation train shuttles between Pudong International Airport in Shanghai and the city's downtown area, accelerating to about 240 m.p.h. during the eight-minute trip. A high-speed line between Beijing and Shanghai is scheduled to open in 2010.
Far more spectacular is the year-old rail service between Beijing and Lhasa, the capital of Tibet. "Not much there for business travelers, as yet," said Kelly Flynn of BCD Travel, a business travel management company. "But it's a Chinese first in rail technology."
For trips between Tokyo and Osaka, Japan's business capital, corporate travelers for years have been able to book a seat on one of the many Shinkansen "bullet trains" that travel at 180 m.p.h. This year South Korea is introducing its own bullet trains on the Seoul-Busan business route.
But no region can match the flood and frequency of American business travelers who visit Europe each year: an estimated 4.5 million, according to Rail Europe.
"You just don't fly anymore between Paris and Brussels -- they're that close on a TGV-type Thalys train," said Nico Zenner of Travel Bound, a New York travel package wholesaler. "It takes one hour and 20 minutes instead of the old three hours. And it's got everything, including Wi-Fi."
Amtrak's Acela trains and Italy's Pendolinos tilt to take curves, but they cannot match the performance of TGV expresses on straightaways. Those French trains, which become a blur at full throttle, depend on the Continent's 2,912 miles of dedicated track -- no freight or
conventional trains are permitted -- to attain their high speeds.
In riding the rails abroad, business travelers also get a chance to see Rhine River castles, French chateaus, and snow-capped mountains.
"My favorite is Germany or Switzerland," Mr. Smith said. "Several on our sales team recently tacked a sightseeing trip through the Alps on the tail of a business trip."
Not lost in this romance with railways is the knowledge that trains at their best are a sweet revenge for business travelers fed up with time wasted in airport lines.
"The Eurostars, which connect London with Paris and Brussels under the Channel, are arguably the premier business trains in Europe," said Mr. Morel of Rail Europe. "Last year they carried nearly eight million passengers," he said, and about 40 percent were business travelers.
Since its introduction in 1994, Eurostar has captured about 65 percent of the air-sea market for crossing the English Channel, according to the company, which is a joint venture controlled by the National Express Group of England and the French rail system.
"You can take Eurostar to Paris, cut a business deal, and get back to London -- a same-day round trip," said Nicholas Mercer, commercial director of Eurostar in England.
"Eurostar has had a huge impact on our London-Paris service," Robin Hayes, executive vice president for the Americas at British Airways, acknowledged. "But we still have 10 flights daily between the two business centers."
In any case, some of the airport-train connections in Europe are models of convenience. "You fly to Frankfurt and just go downstairs below baggage claim and take a train to wherever you want -- for instance, Dusseldorf," said William P. Kinane, vice president of the
international division of Guardsmark, a leading security firm.
Typically, Martin Wahoske, corporate travel manager at Tennant, uses all types of train tickets to keep fares down for his roughly a thousand travelers. "We buy Benelux monthly rail passes in first class for 195 euros," or about $265, Mr. Wahoske said. "We also use a
corporate discount program for ICEs that reduces fares by 20 percent. And after landing in Amsterdam, we'll save an hour going by train to Antwerp rather than driving."
With European trains now using airline-style ticket pricing systems, business travelers can take advantage of fares that vary according to peak or nonpeak hours, advance versus walk-up tickets, and other criteria. For instance, fares for the Paris-Lyon TGV express range from 60 to 150 euros, or about $81.67 to $204. But for many business travelers, racing through the countryside is not always the point.
"My all-time favorite rail trip was riding the classic, leisurely Blue Train in South Africa," said Curt Cutter, an international publishing consultant who is based in Boston. "It was a great way to go to a business meeting."
Rail Roaded
Finding a solution to I-70 traffic has been one long, strange trip. But the end could be in sight.
By Jessica Centers
Published March 15, 2007
Call it a Colorado rite of passage, or penance for getting to live in such a beautiful place. Either way, it's a familiar weekly ritual. You fly west at eighty miles per hour past Genesee, mapping out your runs for the day, dreaming of fresh powder and short lines. Then you notice brake lights before the Central City Parkway. Maybe it's one car slowing down, you tell yourself. But you know better. You slam on the brakes and drop your speed to twenty for the long stop-and-go trek to the Eisenhower Tunnel, hoping to get one run in before lunchtime.
Mark Manger
 Bob Briggs is the engine behind a 2008 election on statewide rail service.
That trip is cake compared to the ride home, when it's dark and the snow starts coming down. You stretch your eyes wide so they don't zone out to the bright beams of oncoming headlights. Your knuckles are white. Second gear helps, but you still think you might slide. An SUV flies around traffic on the shoulder. When you make it past the tunnel, you notice a car has flipped, maybe the same guy. You watch all the drivers around you, wondering which ones are out-of-staters driving rental cars. Which drivers had a few too many beers before starting the ride home. When traffic comes to a standstill, you pray you'll make it to Georgetown before your bladder bursts. A buffalo burger in Idaho Springs sure would hit the spot. Then again, so would a gas-station hot dog. Anything to get out of this damn car!
Bob Briggs would tell you to relax, and he's a man who knows a thing or two about being stuck behind the wheel. The former legislator and RTD boardmember put 40,000 miles on his car last year traveling the state to promote his plan for eliminating bumper-to-bumper traffic on I-70 and I-25 by 2016. His solution is a statewide passenger rail system, and he speaks as though this vision is already a certainty.
In a way, it is.
Ten years ago, people who talked about a monorail that could fly above the highway at 100 miles per hour through the I-70 corridor's narrow canyons, heavy snows, high winds, sharp turns and steep grades were dismissed as dreamers. That was a pipe dream, a fantasy train beyond even Walt Disney's imagination. Any money diverted toward such an endeavor would be a wasteful experiment. Voters practically shouted that point when they overwhelmingly shot down a $50 million monorail test track in 2001.
But that debate is now moot. Today, the technology exists. In fact, multiple technologies exist. There are companies as far away as Switzerland and as close as Fort Lupton that can build the vehicles to run on a high-speed, elevated track through the mountain corridor. And for the first time in recent history, the Colorado Department of Transportation is not denying that reality. With a new, transit-friendly governor in the Capitol, CDOT officials have acknowledged that a passenger train along I-70 is not only feasible, but a necessary long-term solution to congestion.
So if Briggs sounds overly optimistic when he travels the state to garner support for his passenger rail project, it's because he has reason to be. He tells audiences that there will be a ballot initiative in 2008 to approve and fund a statewide rail system and that by 2016, they'll be able to ride high above the traffic from Denver to Vail in under an hour.
Mark Manger
 Mary Jane Loevlie and Cynthia Neely share a common cause: protecting Clear Creek County from being consumed by I-70.
Idaho Springs business owner Mary Jane Loevlie woke up one morning in 1988 to find that the Colorado Department of Transportation intended to widen I-70 through Clear Creek. This "I-70 West Transportation Needs Assessment: Final Report" threatened to swallow much of what was left of the little town. The rest had been engulfed by I-70 when it was originally built in the 1960s. Since then, Idaho Springs had been trying to remake itself, and Loevlie was not about to let it get consumed again.
"The plan was to widen through Clear Creek without any thought for east and west of us, historic districts, people that live here, the environment, air quality," she says. "Their attitude was, you're just a couple of little towns."
Loevlie teamed up with Cynthia Neely, a historic preservationist in Georgetown, and they created an informal citizens' group called the I-70 Task Force. It blew the whistle on CDOT's vision, stalled the plan and started discussing alternatives to widening the highway.
There was a temporary ceasefire, and in the mid-'90s, CDOT embarked on what was called a Major Investment Study of congestion in the I-70 mountain corridor. This time, representatives from local communities, the ski industry, environmental groups, highway contractors, trucking companies and CDOT were all gathered to talk about solutions. In meeting after meeting, facilitators from engineering firm CH2M HILL, which was conducting the study, divided people into small groups to debate how to work on specific problems or stretches of highway. Then they'd bring the issue back to the larger group and let an agreement evolve through consensus.
Neely watched people take the process to heart. Before each meeting, they knew what the questions were going to be, had read the background documents and talked to their neighbors about them. "The public is willing to educate themselves at a very high level if you're willing to involve them in the process," she says.
In 1998, more than 200 people gathered to decide on the wording of a final recommendation for I-70. "All these people with very competing interests were at that meeting, and nobody had a great deal of trust that everybody was going to abide by this language," recalls JoAnn Sorensen, who was a Clear Creek County commissioner at the time. "So when the final reading of the language came out, people were strategically positioned. People who didn't ordinarily stand next to the highway people or the ski-industry people were standing there, and if anybody would have raised their hand to object to the language, it would have been a fistfight."
Neely was positioned next to a representative of the ski industry when the engineer who led the study read the statement calling for mass transit as the long-term solution, as well as highway improvements in the short term to address pinch points and safety problems. A CDOT official asked if anyone had an objection.
Silence. Then an eruption of applause.
The people in that room thought they'd reached their final solution for I-70, but the battle was only beginning.
Mark Manger
 Harry Dale has a one-track mind when it comes to trains on I-70.
At the first-ever meeting of the Rocky Mountain Rail Authority in January, executive director Bob Briggs sat beside his newly elected chairman, Harry Dale. After Briggs advised the authority members to remember this historic day so they could look back on it fondly while the world marveled at their accomplishment, Dale -- in his typically understated tone -- said, "I think, as everybody knows, this is extremely important to Colorado."
When, a few minutes later, Briggs casually mentioned that he had just received a call from CDOT about a meeting the next day pertaining to their project, Dale looked livid. This was the first he had heard of the meeting. Apparently, CDOT had an issue with the RMRA wanting to expand the scope of its feasibility study to Grand Junction instead of stopping in Dotsero.
The agency was going to discuss how the change might affect the funding the group had been promised. The short notice wouldn't give Dale time to rearrange his schedule. He asked why he was just hearing about the meeting, and Briggs said the phone call was the first he'd heard of it, too. No more surprises, Dale told the group. They were going to have to stay on top of everything to avoid getting -- pardon the pun, he sighed -- derailed.
"It shouldn't be like this," Dale said. "These guys have no vision. They're Neanderthals when it comes to vision."
If not for the fact that he himself is one, Dale would have a distaste for politicians. He certainly has a distaste for bureaucracy. The Clear Creek County commissioner can speak for hours about how he believes CDOT has skirted federal rules and guidelines, misled the public and made a mockery of its mission and vision statements. Dale has his own website, www.trainsnotlanes.info, dedicated to criticizing CDOT. It's also where he's compiled the hundreds of hours of research he's done on highway congestion, transit technology and public processes. That way, he knows where to find that Federal Highway Administration report on collaborative problem-solving, should he ever need it, or that environmental stewardship guide CDOT commissioned in 2003. Most every page is headed with the tagline "CDOT -- Creating Tomorrow's Problems Today."
"The more you study this, the more you find the way these guys are going about this is wrong," Dale says. "And it's not just their pursuit of a single alternative, but that single alternative is the wrong alternative for Colorado. And how aggressively they pursue it when there's so much data and information out there that their process was bad and their solution was bad. They're counting on people to not do the research and not understand the issue and support the kind of knee-jerk reaction that says we just need to widen the highway."
There's a lot of animosity toward CDOT along the I-70 corridor; Dale just happens to be one of the most vocal critics. Residents can't understand why it's been almost ten years since they completed the Major Investment Study and they're still fighting CDOT for a transit system.
The final MIS report recommending transit was released in December 1998, just after Bill Owens had been elected governor. It was widely known that Owens, a former oil and gas lobbyist, favored highways over other transportation modes, so transit supporters had hedged their bets in case he won the election. In the spring of 1998, they'd pushed a bill through the state legislature that created the Colorado Intermountain Fixed Guideway Authority, which was to examine various transit alternatives that would work in the steep grades and extreme weather of the mountain corridor.
At the same time, CDOT was supposed to embark on another survey of the I-70 issue, one that focused on transportation alternatives and their impact along the entire corridor, from C-470 to Glenwood Springs. The transportation agency had committed to the effort as part of the final recommendations in the 1998 MIS report, and it was a major concession, because the new Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement would put transit and highway alternatives on equal footing by analyzing options in the context of a much larger area. That would allow the cost of transit to be spread out instead of concentrated on just a few miles of highway.
Owens's new CDOT administration, however, decided to skip the PEIS and widen the highway to six lanes between Floyd Hill and US 40. It hired J.F. Sato and Associates, an engineering company in Littleton, to perform the required environmental analysis.
Once again, people in the mountain counties started raising hell, demanding that the earlier commitments be honored. CDOT acquiesced.
"The corridor communities, particularly Clear Creek County, made strong suggestions that [the PEIS] needed to occur," says CDOT Region I director Jeff Kullman. "It took a little nudging, but CDOT eventually said yes. They had J.F. Sato under contract already, so they expanded the scope to the full study."
Though J.F. Sato maintains that CDOT has never tried to influence the firm's findings, Dale and many others have argued that the decision to hire a small company and not put the project out for bid was unseemly.
"This was a company that had never done anything of this size," says Miller Hudson, who was then executive director of the Colorado Intermountain Fixed Guideway Authority. "I said publicly at the time that if you needed any evidence, this was proof that CDOT was on a forced march to a predetermined conclusion, and that would be that you needed to widen the highway.
"I don't think anybody thought at the time that eight years later, we still wouldn't have a report."
Harry Dale was on the Clear Creek County Commission when the draft PEIS study came out in December 2004. He was suddenly thrust into the I-70 debate, and having been a Colorado resident for seven years and a public official for just two, he had a lot of catching up to do. "Before I was a commissioner, I was like everybody else: 'Let's widen the highway,'" he says. "I think the first thing that hit me over the head was the bias that was in the document, and then what would happen during the construction."
He quickly scoured the report -- which will be nine years and almost $24 million in the making when it's finally completed later this year -- and found that it compared twenty different transportation alternatives for the I-70 corridor based on factors such as environmental impacts, respect for community values, safety, technological feasibility and affordability. However, the "preferred alternatives" were chosen based solely on price projections: Only those options with a capital cost of less than $4 billion were considered feasible.
As a result, a six-lane highway, which was estimated at $2.65 billion, was preferred over an advanced guideway system, such as a monorail, which was priced at $6.15 billion.
There was just one other hurdle for "preferred alternatives" to jump: The option had to meet travel-demand projections for 2025. The PEIS had a 25-year outlook, even though CDOT does not expect the preferred six-lane highway alternative to be complete before 2025 -- after fifteen years of construction. Projections indicate that this six-lane highway would then be at capacity -- or just as congested as it is today -- by 2030.
The public outcry in response to the PEIS draft was immense and immediate. The Colorado Environmental Coalition, Trout Unlimited and the Sierra Club formed a group called Mountains to Plains Transportation Solutions, which grew to a coalition of 26 non-profit organizations opposing the PEIS findings.
"A true, legitimate policy analysis under the National Environmental Policy Act has got to consider the value of environmental costs," says Trout Unlimited's Gary Frey, who had worked on numerous PEIS documents as a NEPA expert. "Fundamentally, our group believes the decision in this document was made a long time ago: Anything selected will be a roadway-based alternative."
Absent was an analysis of environmental mitigation costs, and the group believes that had those been studied, the price of highway expansion would shoot well above the $4 billion cap.
Dale couldn't fathom what ripping up the only artery to the mountains for fifteen years would do to those communities, let alone the state: "I know CDOT officials will say they have experience with T-Rex and all these other things, but it's not the same. There are places where you simply can't widen to divert traffic around."
He also believed that the $4 billion figure was arbitrarily selected for the express purpose of ruling out transit. Then, as he broke down the numbers, he came to also believe that the estimate for highway widening was intentionally deflated. He constructed a chart and PowerPoint presentation to explain this point, using Glenwood Canyon as the basis of his cost analysis. The way the road through Glenwood Canyon becomes a part of the landscape is an example of what's officially known as Context Sensitive Design, which the Federal Highway Administration requires transportation projects to use.
"If you were to look at a six-lane version of what was done in Glenwood Canyon, that would cost about $100 million per mile," he says. "When you go through and look at the places you would have to do that in the corridor, you're going to wind up with a $5 billion highway. The solutions for rail in the corridor, depending on the technology, are probably between $4 billion and $6 billion. So you're really talking about the same price.
"Even in CDOT's own data, they show that by 2025, when they think they can get this done by, the congestion is just as bad as it is today," he adds. "In fact, it's worse. And so it doesn't accomplish anything. It just wastes a whole bunch of money and doesn't take into account all these environmental things that are important to us."
As comments like these began to flood CDOT, Region 1 director Kullman was the man responding. "I would say, with few exceptions, the individuals of Clear Creek County probably know the PEIS document better than anybody else except the preparers themselves," Kullman says. "And so, yeah, they've been vocal, because they have a lot at stake here. It's obviously very difficult to convince them otherwise that we didn't have a pre-determined outlook when we went into this process."
Still, he tried.
To detractors, he pointed out that the ridership survey and subsequent traffic analysis involved experts from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and was one of the most comprehensive studies the feds had ever seen. "In fact, the Federal Transit Authority said they would not accept our transit study because they thought it exaggerated too many trips toward transit," he explains. "We're showing 15 to 20 percent transit trips during the peak hours, which is exceedingly high. So from a traffic-modeling perspective, we certainly did look at all the alternatives."
He also explained that the $4 billion threshold was an attempt to be realistic about what could be accomplished over the next 25 years. "We looked at what we had, and we believed we had about $1 billion in the bank for this corridor," says Kullman. "And we just exaggerated that up, thinking, 'My goodness, if we could get really lucky and everything in the world fell into place, it's possible that we could get $3 billion or $4 billion.'"
Kullman defended the $2.65 billion highway-widening estimate as taking into account the mitigation costs associated with the federally required Context Sensitive Solution and Context Sensitive Design processes. "CSS is, I believe, a new term for something the State of Colorado has been doing very well for years," he says. "By evidence, look at Glenwood Canyon, Vail Pass, Berthoud Pass. How we married the highway system with the environment. We addressed all kinds of mitigation. We are absolutely committed to that kind of solution for this corridor. We assumed that kind of treatment throughout the process, and you have to. This corridor is too important to everybody in Colorado. I've lived here my whole life. This is home for me. My parents were raised here and my kids still live here, and it's important to me that we do this right."
The mountain communities were so disturbed by the PEIS findings that in 2005 they, too, formed an organization to oppose them. The I-70 Coalition then held a two-day retreat in SolVista in order to come to consensus on I-70. It was a meeting not unlike the many sessions the participants had sat through seven years earlier.
Again the group came to absolute agreement: Build a transit system in tandem with highway improvements. The "preferred alternatives" they submitted to CDOT now have the endorsement of every jurisdiction from Golden and Jefferson County through Garfield County and Glenwood Springs, up into Pitkin County and Aspen, all the way to Steamboat Springs and Park County. Vail Resorts and Intrawest signed on, too.
Since the retreat, the group has begun to see some movement at CDOT. The agency has recently begun talking about a multi-modal vision for the I-70 mountain corridor and updated the planning outlook for the PEIS from 25 to 50 years, a change Clear Creek County had been asking for since the study began. As a result, the "preferred alternative" now under internal review is still a six-lane highway widening, but that highway would come with preservation for transit.
"We were starting to move a direction, and we were able to see the light," says Kullman. "It took a lot of persuasion for some people. It seemed to be one of the strongest opinions of the people: 'Come on, CDOT. Look a little longer than twenty years. Have a little vision.' We heard that time and time again, as well as the multi-modal, and I believe we've addressed both those things.
"We would start the highway improvements first, but as we do those improvements we will preserve the ability, the functionality, to allow transit to be added," he continues. "Under the current fiscal constraints, it's probably going to take us most of the next twenty years to complete highway improvements, so under our plan, transit would probably come financially after that point. But if something changes and the legislature or the people of the state determine that transit is a more desired alternative, then we could just stop where we're at with the highway and move to the transit."
The irony that this change comes as Bill Ritter takes over the governor's office isn't lost on many. Ritter's newly appointed CDOT director, Russell George, is interested in an advanced-guideway system for the corridor but is pragmatic about the cost and the time frame. He says highway-widening needs to come first. "It's a near-term solution for the problem," George explains. "We need to move automobile traffic, and that means more lanes.
"What's not an alternative is not making a decision," he adds. "We need to make a decision and move on."
Toward that end, CDOT has hired a contractor to lead the Context Sensitive Design portion of the highway expansion and invited a representative of Clear Creek County's choosing to join in that process. It puts Cynthia Neely in a difficult position, because she's adamant that the CSS process should have been used to select an alternative for I-70, not just to design that alternative after CDOT had already made its decision.
"So while we are participating, and pleased to participate, if the decision is one that pays no regard for the environment or community values, the fact that you're going to be nice about implementing it is not going to change the determination to not let a bad decision stand," she says.
Clear Creek County is prepared to sue the state if CDOT selects six-lane highway widening as its alternative in the final PEIS, regardless of whether that highway would preserve space for transit. "I think there will be severe problems with the PEIS, and hopefully the new administration will dig into it," Dale says. "It's so ripe for litigation right now, if they don't, it will be held up forever in court."
For now, the last word on the PEIS belongs to Governor Ritter, who says he's yet to make up his mind about CDOT's preferred alternative. "The people that I most trust in, I haven't sat down and had a long conversation with them about that document or about that alternative," he says. "What I kept hearing is that Governor Owens's administration had put a certain amount of money on the table to be spent over a certain period of time -- all of which would involve highway widening. There are a lot of really good transportation experts in this state who I'm not sure have been heard in the discussion to date. I do think transit should be on the table."
Bob Briggs takes the podium before Boulder County's three commissioners to give his familiar pitch -- the same call for support he'll give to a total of 122 counties, 54 cities and 400 organizations before he's through.
After the 2004 election -- when Briggs, a Republican, lost his run for the legislature -- he got a call from RTD general manager Cal Marsella. He recalled how Briggs, while on the RTD board from 1998 to 2002, had often said the state should have a passenger rail system along the Front Range, from Wyoming to New Mexico. With FasTracks having just been approved, Marsella thought the time might be right to pursue that project. As Briggs began to travel and promote his passenger rail idea, he quickly found that the people he talked to were just as, if not more, interested in I-70. Thus, it only made sense to add that corridor to his state rail plan.
In 2005, out of the small pot Referendum C created for transit projects, Briggs's group was able to secure $1.25 million for a rail-feasibility study. In order to receive that money, CDOT required that an intergovernmental agreement be created. The Rocky Mountain Rail Authority was born, with Clear Creek County, Monument, Aspen, Larimer County, Arapahoe County and the Roaring Fork Transportation Authority as its first members. CDOT also required that the RMRA come up with a local match of $311,000.
Briggs told the Boulder County Commission that he had a commitment of about $140,000 from the six jurisdictions that have joined the RMRA. In the coming weeks, he planned to raise the rest of the money, finalize a contract with CDOT and travel to Washington, D.C., to ask for federal matching dollars to fund the complete review, which will cost $4 million. "Our goal is to have the study completed by first quarter of 2008, and in November ask the voters to approve a rail system."
Briggs then asked the county commissioners if they would join the RMRA and contribute $50,000.
The gentlemen looked perplexed.
"This seems like a statewide project," said Tom Mayer. "Why wouldn't CDOT be taking this on themselves?"
"Have you had any discussions with the new governor about changing CDOT's approach on this?" asked Will Toor.
"It is a bit odd that local governments would be asked to pay a share that should be born by the state as a whole," said Ben Pearlman.
"The state transportation department needs to make a transition from being all about highways to actually being a transportation department," Toor added. "I really want to see the effort first now with the new administration, to approach them and say this is something that should be funded by the state."
Later that day, Briggs reported to the RMRA that he expected Boulder County would join them, though the commissioners wanted to talk to the governor first. They think CDOT should be supporting the study, he relayed.
Harry Dale rolled his eyes and sighed.
Cynthia Neely didn't have gray hair when this all started. It's a standing joke among her transit co-conspirators. "I taught world history," she says. "I do know ideas take a long time to grow."
It was in the 1920s when Dwight D. Eisenhower first thought to connect the nation by road. But people weren't ready for it. They said it couldn't be done, and it was 1956 before the country embarked on building an interstate highway system under then-President Eisenhower.
Briggs likes to remind people that the interstate highway system was the country's second interstate system. The first, of course, was the railroad, signed into law by Abraham Lincoln in 1862. With the interstate highway and the jet engine both on the scene 100 years later, passenger rail became obsolete. Today, the nation's highways are clogged, and the only airport in the country with any capacity to grow is DIA. In the next 100 years -- as the U.S. population grows to 600 million -- the country is going to need three interstate systems. "And that's what I'm working for, is to reinvent a passenger rail system in the state of Colorado," Briggs says.
When he started at RTD, Briggs didn't understand the total advantages of transit. Now he hopes he can get across what he's learned. The numbers alone speak volumes. The state's highway system was built for a population of 3.5 million. Today there are 4.5 million people, and the state highway system has been breaking down for years. Meanwhile, Colorado is growing at a rate three times faster than the country as a whole. "What's going to happen in the next 100 years?" he asks. "If we just double, that's 9 million people. What happened to our ability to get around when we got to 4.5 million? Commute times doubled or tripled. If we grow at the rate we have been, that's 18 million people. How do we expand the highway four or five times?
"With rail, you double the cars and you add a double deck. You have the capacity to grow. And that's what we have to do. What we put in place today will last 100 years."
The federal government has begun to think about the country's transportation needs for the next 100 years. In fact, lawmakers are for the first time framing the dialogue of transportation appropriations in the context of an interstate system, including road, air and rail. Briggs doesn't see why Colorado couldn't be the state to lead the country in developing a high-speed rail system that defines high speeds as up to 124 miles per hour. Already, Colorado has a request pending with the U.S. Secretary of Transportation that the Rocky Mountain Corridor -- from Casper to Albuquerque along I-25 and DIA to Dotsero along I-70 -- be chosen for the nation's eleventh and last High Speed Rail Corridor. Such a designation would give Colorado, Wyoming and New Mexico access to federal rail dollars. In addition, the Wyoming legislature has pledged $260,000 to the RMRA's feasibility study, and Briggs has raised funds exceeding the $311,000 local match.
Today's political climate could be right for rail to happen. Ritter campaigned on a commitment to a multi-modal transportation system and a promise to convene a blue ribbon panel that would examine funding mechanisms for transportation and the way in which those projects are prioritized.
Ritter's Colorado Transportation Finance and Implementation Panel will make its recommendations by the end of 2007, and the governor says he hopes the RMRA will give input to the group. "What we don't want to do is step on each other here," he says. "We don't want the blue ribbon commission that I'm putting together to have one sense about how we move people up and down the I-70 corridor and another group who wants to put a competing alternative on the table. We really need to, I think, ultimately build the kind of consensus and the kind of coalition that we built with Referendum C."
The state has and will continue to see a decline in highway user trust-fund dollars, as well as gas tax receipts. CDOT, by its own projections, will be underfunded by $50 billion over the next 25 years just trying to maintain existing infrastructure if the state continues to rely on those revenue sources. Meanwhile, in the metro area, Ritter says the state has spent over $100 million on environmental impact statements in the last five years.
"So we're not going to throw the baby out with the bathwater," Ritter explains. "It's important for us to look at things like rail corridors, but at the same time, we don't want that to be the only consideration. The conversation has to be about how we fund transportation infrastructure statewide and all parts of transportation infrastructure, including highways, regional airports, freight rail, commuter rail."
It's 2030. You pack up and head to Union Station. You have an annual train pass for your family, and the money you save on gas has allowed you more weekend trips and longer vacations in the mountains, as well as Utah, New Mexico and Wyoming. You have nothing to lug with you today, though, because this isn't a vacation. You're just going to ski for the day, and you rent a locker for your family's skis and boards at your favorite resort. And even if you feel like checking out a different mountain today, the buses move fast and comfortably between resorts and towns and the train station. It's not like you won't have time to explore. You'll be in Frisco in 45 minutes.
You step onto the platform comfortably -- it's at ground level -- and plop into a window seat with plenty of room to stretch your legs. You can order a drink if you feel like it, or a sandwich. There's a restroom in your car that's downright massive compared to airplane bathrooms.
You've made this trip dozens of times, but it still manages to take your breath away every time you see blue sky meet white peaks. You're gliding quickly and quietly over the highway. You look down at the cars and think back to all those long days in traffic, always rushing to beat the early rush or the late rush and still ending up smack in the middle of a twenty-mile backup. You remember all those weekends you stayed home instead of going hiking or biking or rafting because you were so frustrated that the winter traffic jams had bled into your spring, summer and fall. You remember driving with your nose practically pressed to the glass because you couldn't see past the snow. The fear. The anxiety.
But those trips are long gone. Now you drive I-70 when the mood and weather suits you. It's wide open these days. Of course the highway is wide open, you think before drifting into a quick catnap. Who wouldn't rather ride this train?
Lt. Governor Denish Officially Opens Rail Runner Service to Belen
(Belen, 2-2-07) – Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish joined
Transportation Secretary Rhonda Faught, Belen Mayor Ronnie Torres,
and other elected officials this afternoon to officially open the Rail
Runner service to Belen.
“I am pleased to be present to celebrate the new Rail Runner service
to Belen which completes the administration’s commitment of Phase
One,” Lt. Governor Denish said. “As New Mexico grows in the 21st
century, we have made a solid investment with the Rail Runner to
more efficiently move our residents and reduce pollution to our
environment.”
The lieutenant Governor also discussed the economic incentives for the
City of Belen. “In addition we have provided a foundation for Belen
and other local communities to build transit oriented businesses and
new investment opportunities. The Rail Runner will pave the way for a
journey towards a brighter future for all of New Mexico’s residents,” Lt.
Governor Denish said.
Service on the Rail Runner Express will now officially serve commuters
between Bernalillo, Albuquerque, Los Lunas, and Belen, completing the
50 miles of Phase One on the commuter line. Residents of Belen
commuting on the Belen to Albuquerque line will receive free fares
until April 1.
“When we embarked on this mission over two years ago, we knew
then we would make this journey to Belen,” Secretary Faught said.
“With the addition of service to Belen today, the Rail Runner brings
even more New Mexicans an extremely convenient form of
transportation. Other states in the nation are looking upon us now with
high regard; we have truly made significant history by bringing first
class transportation to our citizens.”
“This now provides an affordable transportation alternative for the
people of Belen and Valencia County”, says Lawrence Rael, Executive
Director of the Mid-Region Council of Governments. “This important
link creates a stronger connection for Belen to the other communities
in the region."
Rail Runner is part of Governor Richardson’s Investment Partnership
(GRIP). GRIP is $1.6 billion transportation and infrastructure initiative
that is improving highways in New Mexico, creating new modes of
transportation like commuter rail and bus services and providing local
jobs.
Casper should invest in high-speed rail study
Monday, January 15, 2007
Star-Tribune Editorial Board
As far as transportation plans go, a proposed high-speed rail system between
Casper and Albuquerque, N.M., is about as ambitious as they come.
For $50,000 from Casper's city government, our city could be included in a
$4.4 million feasibility study of the proposal. That's a fairly minimal
investment for participation in a system that, if built, would revolutionize
travel in the region.
We say, let's go for it. Supporters, including Casper Councilwoman Lynne Whalen, believe it's an opportunity we can't pass up. "We'll be kicking ourselves in 20 years if Cheyenne gets connected to the Front Range and we don't," she told other
council members at a work session last week.
City Manager Tom Forslund said the issue will return at a future meeting of
the council, which will vote on a resolution authorizing the expenditure.
Cheyenne and the Wyoming Legislature are also being asked to contribute to
the study. They should, so our state can present a united front and indicate
we indeed want to be included.
There are many benefits that could result from having passenger rail service
that could travel at speeds between 90 and 124 mph from Wyoming, through
Colorado, and to New Mexico. For starters, it could be the answer to our
state's labor shortage, transporting a new pool of skilled workers to
Wyoming.
Increasing available labor could in turn attract new businesses and industry
to Wyoming. It's no wonder members of the Casper Area Economic
Development Alliance and Cheyenne LEADS have expressed support for the
project.
Tourism is another economic sector that has great growth potential.
Wyoming is already a popular destination for tourists from Colorado. There is
some talk that the high-speed rail service could go beyond Casper, linking to
Yellowstone National Park.
At the same time, many Wyoming residents would likely use the system to
travel to cities along the Front Range, for business, shopping and other
reasons. High-speed rail would provide another option than travel by car or
plane. It could be an attractive alternative, especially since projected growth
in the region is expected to cause greater congestion at Denver International
Airport and Colorado highways.
A feasibility study will answer many questions about the proposal, including
cost estimates, how soon it could be completed and how many passengers it
would need to be financially successful.
Whether or not the three-state project gets off the ground, the Denver Fas-
Tracks system is planning to build a $4.7 billion, 119-mile light rail system by
2016. It makes sense to look at ways Wyoming might be able to link to the
system.
Bob Briggs, president of Front Range Commuter Rail, said, "The key question
is whether there is the political will to do this."
In Wyoming, that political will starts with the Casper City Council. The council
should have no problem justifying spending money on a study to find out if
it's a feasible project. In fact, it should have a difficult time explaining its
actions to residents if it just unilaterally dismissed the proposal.
High-speed-rail plan surfaces
By Kevin Flynn, Rocky Mountain News January 2, 2007
Bob Briggs, a former state lawmaker and member of the Regional Transportation District board, is also chief conductor for Ranger Xpress.
It's a proposal to develop 700 miles of modern track that would thread together the highly populated Front Range and the busy Interstate 70 mountain corridor between Denver and Grand Junction.
An additional 300 miles past the northern and southern borders of the state would allow passengers to continue as far north as Casper and south of Albuquerque thanks to concurrent efforts in those states.
"It's critical to put this together right now," said Briggs, citing continued population growth that will further clog highways.
Briggs' Rocky Mountain Rail Authority is seeking local and federal money for a feasibility study that would keep the proposal on track for a public vote on financing in less than two years. Construction would be simultaneous with the build-out of metro Denver's FasTracks rail system.
Ranger Xpress would feed passengers into the FasTracks network and pass through the metro area.
The cost? Unknown at this point. One rough estimate puts it at $9 billion.
The way to pay for it?
In part, that will be up to the voters, who may be asked as early as 2008 to approve a tax, perhaps a statewide sales tax increase.
"We don't have enough answers yet to start putting a cost to it," Briggs said.
But it starts with getting the federal government to designate the Front Range as a high-speed rail corridor.
There are 11 such corridors and 10 already have been named - leaving one more.
The designated corridors are eligible for federal assistance. Those that have been named generally connect highly populated areas, but not all of them do.
The Northern New England corridor, for instance, has two spurs running north out of Boston, one to Auburn, Maine, and the other to Montreal. The Empire corridor connects New York City with Albany and Buffalo. The South Central Corridor connects San Antonio, Dallas, Oklahoma City, Tulsa and Little Rock.
The Northwest Corridor runs from Eugene, Ore., to Vancouver, B.C., through Portland and Seattle. In California, a split corridor connects the major urban areas of San Diego, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Sacramento.
Briggs anticipates an attempt to link the corridors to each other to create a national high-speed rail system. If that happens, there's a big hole right in the center of the country where there is no corridor. That's where the Ranger Xpress proposal would come in.
"I'm pretty convinced in my mind it will be a seamless operation," Briggs said. "It makes sense to have us as the 11th rail corridor because it helps close the chasm in the center of the U.S."
Trains proposed for I-25 & I-70
By The Associated Press Article Last Updated:11/14/2006 07:54:22 AM MST
A newly created Rocky Mountain Rail Authority has an aggressive plan to seek statewide voter approval for rail service along Interstate 25 from Wyoming to New Mexico, and along Interstate 70 with branch service to all ski resorts along that corridor.
The authority will use a grant to study the feasibility of such a system, including finding out where existing rail lines can be used, were new ones are needed, and how much it will cost, authority President Bob Briggs said.
"We can become the one that sets the standard for the rest of the nation to follow," Briggs said.
Briggs plans to have the study completed by the time he seeks voter approval in 2008. If approved, plans are to have service along I-25 completed by 2016, and I-70 two years later.
Briggs, a former Regional Transportation District board member, presented his idea to the Roaring Fork Transportation Authority's board of directors last week.
With a Denver committee exploring a possible bid for the 2018 Winter Olympics, Briggs hoped federal funds could be acquired if the area lands the games. He pointed out how the federal government demonstrated in Utah during Winter Olympics and Los Angeles during Summer Olympics that it will help construct rail systems.
"It's not our goal to reinvent," Briggs said. "It's our goal to make it happen."
Board members Thursday contributed $5,000 to join the effort. Briggs is seeking support from all jurisdictions that would be affected by therail service, including big cities such as Denver and Aurora to small towns like Gypsum and Basalt.
--- On the Net: Rocky Mountain Rail Authority:
http://www.rangerxpress.com .
November 19, 2006
Back on track
Area's transit future inspired by the past
By BILL HETHCOCK THE GAZETTE
Imagine a Colorado Springs where you could hop one of 38 trains to Denver. Where trolleys whisk commuters and tourists all over town. Where there is no COSMIX crawl on Interstate 25.
Welcome to Colorado Springs,1906. The city’s roots were planted alongside rails — Gen. William J.Palmer founded Colorado Springs while scouting a railroad route — but the automobile drove passenger train service out of business here by1971.
Now there are so many cars on the road that planners envision a future that partly relies on a return to rails as a way to ease congestion and cut commuting times. Transportation experts say it will take trains, lanes, buses — and busloads of money — to meet Colorado commuters’ needs.
Has the time of the train passed? Or does this piece of the past hold the key to the future along the Interstate 25 corridor?
Do Coloradans have the political and financial will to spend billions to bring back the trains?
Neighbors to the north and south have already rediscovered the rails. On Friday, Denver opened its 19-mile southeast light-rail line along Interstate 25, a part of the ambitious Fas-Tracks project there. The Rail Runner Express began serving the Albuquerque metropolitan area in July.
Commuters on I-25 might look wistfully to coal trains chugging along tracks between Colorado Springs and Denver. They might imagine the day when passenger trains again whir along those tracks.
It seems like a good idea, but it’s not as simple as it sounds. It’s a different world from what it was in 1906.
PASSENGER RAIL
When Bob Briggs gazes into the future, he sees high-speed passenger trains from Casper, Wyo., along the Front Range to Albuquerque.
Another stretch of the proposed Ranger Express line would run along the I-70 Mountain Corridor connecting to Denver International Airport.
The track would span 1,095 miles, and trains would operate at speeds exceeding 90mph, said Briggs, president of Front Range Commuter Rail, which backs the Ranger Express. “It would take eight or nine years to build it,” Briggs said. “Then it would be there for 100 years.”
The goal is to start Ranger Express service in 2014 to integrate it with Denver’s FasTracks. FasTracks is a voter-approved, $4.7 billion plan to add 119 miles of light rail by 2016. Nineteen of those miles opened last week, bringing Denver’s existing light rail system to 54 miles.
Passengers would pay about $12 to ride from Colorado Springs to Denver or $24 round trip on Ranger Express.
“If we can provide the service for less than it costs to take a car, we can convince people to leave their cars at home and let us do the driving,” Briggs said. “We know that when snow or rain or accidents happen, Interstate 25 doesn’t move, but we will be able to move.”
The popularity of FrontRange Express, or FREX, bus service shows demand for commuter transit service, said Corinne Donahue, senior transit planner for Colorado Springs.
“Clearly, the appetite is there,” she said.
FREX ridership has surpassed projections, averaging about 630 boardings on a typical workday. Each of the Colorado Springs-based buses removes up to 27 cars from the highway, reducing congestion, road wear and tear, vehicle emissions and road rage, Donahue said.
As successful as FREX is, Donahue thinks high-speed rail is the long-term answer to moving passengers up and down the Front Range.
Transportation studies show people prefer rail to buses.
Front Range Commuter Rail forecasts predict commuters would ride the train for 26 million trips a year from Pueblo to Fort Collins in 2015, Briggs said. That doesn’t count ridership by tourists, shoppers or Denver Broncos fans, he said.
Critics of Ranger Express say it’s smarter to widen and maintain I-25, promote car poolsor add buses.
The Federal Railroad Administration requires a feasibility study before the Front Range line would be designated. If approved, it would become the 11th high-speed rail corridor in the United States, opening the door to federal money.
The feasibility study will look at topography, tracks, train traffic and other factors to determine whether trains could operate at speeds exceeding 90 mph at least 75 percent of the time — a requirement for highspeed corridor designation, Briggs said.
The application would use existing Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway and Union Pacific Railroad tracks and right of way.
Colorado’s demographics will make passenger rail along the Front Range a necessity,Briggs said. The only question is when.
The state’s population is projected to nearly double to 7.1 million by 2030. Employment will swell to about 3.9 million from 2.3 million now, so nearly twice as many people will be commuting to work, state transportation department forecasts show.
“Rail has capacity,” Briggs said. “You start out with a two-train system and as population grows, you can add more trains and move more people.”
At most, I-25 moves 1,550 cars per hour in each lane when cars are going 65 mph or better. A doubletrack rail line can transport more people than eight lanes of interstate yet takes much less space, said Jon Esty, president of the Colorado Rail Passenger Association, or ColoRail. The group works to expand passenger rail.
Trains are safer, use less energy and create less pollution per passenger than automobiles, Esty said.
Front Range Commuter Rail plans to seek voter approval for long-term financing in 2008. Cost estimates won’t be available until the feasibility study is done, but the project wouldn’t be cheap, Briggs said.
High-speed rail from state line to state line — about 400 miles — requires two sets of track, he said. In most areas, there’s only one. Laying track costs more than $1 million a mile; that cost goes up sharply when bridges are needed, Briggs said.
At the turn of the century, it cost $50,000 to $75,000 in today’s dollars to lay a mile of track, not counting the cost of land acquisition, railroad historian Mel McFarland said. Today, crews do more ground development, and the track quality is better and lasts longer, he said.
The political will and regional cooperation needed for commuter rail has been lacking, but that’s changing, Briggs said.
Early this year, the Legislature set aside 10 percent of transportation money for public transit projects during the next five years. The $65.1 million earmarked for transit — rail and buses — marks the first time the Colorado Department of Transportation allocated money for transit and not just highway projects, Briggs said.
The Colorado Transportation Commission, charged with divvying the $65.1 million, allocated $1.25 million for the feasibility study.
Ranger Express would be similar to the Rail Runner Express, which began serving Albuquerque in July.
Rail Runner uses diesel-electric locomotives burning biodiesel fuel to power trains along existing BNSF track from Belen to Bernalillo. The 50-mile route runs roughly parallel to I-25. Top speed is about 80 mph.
The next phase, scheduled to open in 2008, will extend the line northward to Santa Fe. New Mexico has spent about $135 million for Rail Runner service, including buying train cars, locomotives and track. It will cost another $255 million to stretch the line 41 miles from Bernalillo to Santa Fe.
Rail Runner’s 200,000th passenger climbed aboard in October. Project spokeswoman Augusta Meyers said the rail has exceeded ridership projections.
“When everything came on line it was a shock to see how many people wanted to use the service,” she said. “We were thrilled about that. People love it. It’s a big hit.”
Voter passage of FasTracks in Denver and the state transportation department’s approval of money for the high-speed rail feasibility show Coloradans’ attitudes toward mass transit are changing, Esty said.
“We have made a lot of progress in the past decade,” he said. “Folks in Colorado are really just becoming aware that there are ways of getting from place to place without using an automobile.”
Before Ranger Express trains could roll, freight and coal trains should be relocated, Esty said. Freight and passenger trains can coexist, but it’s a scheduling nightmare, he said.
The Colorado Department of Transportation has studied a route that would move freight rail traffic to the state’s eastern plains by adding 95 miles of track to connect to existing track.
Another proposal would move freight trains to the eastern plains as part of a toll road project nicknamed Super Slab.
ROADS
Rail transportation might have back-to-the-future elements, but don’t expect flying DeLoreans with flux capacitors when it comes to car travel.
Where we’re going, we’ll still need roads.
In 1908, Henry Ford introduced the Model T. By 1912, trolleys shared the streets with cars in Colorado Springs and cities throughout the nation.
Construction of the interstate system in Colorado began in 1956 and was mostly complete by 1976, providing 956 miles of highway.
When Interstate 25 opened in Colorado Springs in 1960, the highway carried about 8,500 cars a day. By the 2005 start of the Colorado Springs Metro Interstate Expansion, traffic counts in the COSMIX area had reached 110,000 vehicles on an average weekday. That number is expected to rise to 171,000 vehicles per day by 2025.
The $150 million COSMIX project, the city’s largest transportation project ever, will give I-25 at least three lanes in each direction through the city, rebuild interchanges and replace or widen 20 bridges. A fourth lane in each direction is planned when an additional $400 million becomes available.
A study before COSMIX began concluded the I-25 expansion was necessary because mass transit would not divert enough commuters from their cars to noticeably reduce congestion.
Today, four out of every five Colorado motorists drive to work alone, state surveys show.
Expect more lanes to be added to I-25 and highways during the next 30 years, said Warren Whiteaker, senior transportation planner for the Pikes Peak Area Council of Governments.
The council is in charge of regional transportation planning. Whiteaker and other planners are developing the blueprint for 2035.
Whiteaker doesn’t envision radical change during the next three decades. Federal law requires transportation officials to base their plans on conservative assumptions and reassess them frequently, he said.
“We can’t make assumptions that we’ll have hovercrafts or all be driving hybrid cars,” he said. “We have to be realistic. We can’t make Hollywood assumptions.”
Eventually — beyond 2035 — I-25 will run out of capacity, said Craig Casper, the council of governments’ transportation director. As interstates are widened, adjacent land becomes less available and more expensive, he said.
That’s when a project like Super Slab makes sense, he said.
“You either make I-25 10 lanes in each direction like you see in Los Angeles,” he said, “or you put a new interstate somewhere.”
The $2.5 billion Super Slab project, officially called Prairie Falcon Parkway Express, would stretch 210 miles through seven counties.
The proposed toll road would veer off I-25 north of Fort Collins and reconnect south of Pueblo.
Landowners along the project’s potential path have fought it every step of the way.
Proponents say the project would connect communities. It would reduce traffic along I-25, decrease freight traffic through Colorado Springs, Denver and other cities and bring economic opportunity to communities along the corridor.
Detractors call it a land grab. They say it would cut Colorado in half and cheat private property owners.
“This is just a terrible idea,” opposition organizer Rob Dougherty said. “We aren’t going to stop until we’re sure this project is dead.”
CONGESTION
They say nobody on their deathbed wishes they had spent more time at work. Nor do they wish they’d spent more time in traffic. That’s what Colorado drivers will face, however, if experts are right.
Without passenger rail or driver behavioral changes such as more carpooling, by 2030 Interstate 25 will need to double its width to eight lanes much of the way from north Colorado Springs to Castle Rock, not counting acceleration and deceleration lanes. It will be wider still in Denver.
Even after the widenings, I-25 will be more congested, some studies show.
Congestion delays in Denver, Colorado Springs and Boulder cost drivers $1,426 per traveler annually, according to a 2004 Texas Transportation Institute Urban Mobility Study.
Denver is the ninth-most congested city in the nation. Colorado Springs is the nation’s most congested city under 500,000 population.
Without major improvements, Denver drivers can expect worse rush-hour traffic jams than present congestion capital Los Angeles by 2030, according to a study by Reason Foundation, a policy think tank. Colorado Springs can expect congestion as bad as present-day Miami.
All that sitting in traffic means lost productivity, said the study’s lead researcher, University of North Carolina at Charlotte transportation studies professor David Hartgen.
“Congestion is an insidious problem,” he said. “It’s sort of like asphalt on your feet. It causes everybody to slow down and because everybody else has slowed down, you don’t realize how much time you are wasting.”
Beyond lost productivity, congestion raises crash rates, vehicle operating costs, fuel consumption, truck travel times and shipping costs, Hartgen said.
Colorado needs 4,670 new lane miles at a cost of $11.5 billion by 2030, the foundation study said. Lane miles measure pavement. A two-lane stretch of road one mile long is two lane miles.
Colorado ranks fourth out of the 50 states in most lane miles needed, according to the study.
State projections show about $75 billion available for state and local agencies to spend on transportation across Colorado through 2030.
Of the $75 billion, 62 percent will go to highways.
The state estimates it will take $123 billion to maintain today’s service levels through 2030 and $178 billion for major improvements.
Unless something is done to close the $48 billion gap between the $75 billion available and the $123 billion maintainance funding, projects will be delayed, congestion will get worse and the cost of doing business will climb, transportation department spokeswoman Stacey Stegman said.
It has become increasingly difficult to reach the state Transportation Commission’s goal of keeping 60 percent of the highways in good or fair condition, Stegman said.
Falling gasoline tax revenues and rising costs of construction materials have made it harder to build and maintain roads, Stegman said.
“We have to put most of our funds into maintenance just so we don’t have crumbling roads,” she said. “It doesn’t leave much room for expansion.”
If the state adds the lane miles the foundation says it needs, it would save 169 million hours per year that now are wasted in traffic jams, the Reason report says. Without improvements, future traffic jams will make current weekday congestion look like a Sunday drive, the study suggests.
Colorado Springs drivers get impatient when they wait at a busy intersection, Casper said. In Chicago, where he lived previously, Casper often sat through six full light cycles before clearing an intersection, he said.
“Congestion is very subjective,” Casper said. “I think people are going to change their expectations of what ‘congested’ is.”
TRAINS VS. LANES
Gridlock and bottlenecks don’t have to get worse, Hartgen said.
Too many transportation dollars are spent on public transit systems used by a small percentage of commuters, he said, siphoning funds from necessary road building and maintenance and simpler solutions such as signal timing.
“We know the vast majority of Americans aren’t going to give up their cars,” Hartgen said. “We need to focus our transportation dollars where they will do the most good.”
The Denver Regional Council of Governments, for example, plans to spend $87.8 billion during the next 25 years, including $53.9 billion on highway improvements and $23.4 billion on mass transit.
Fewer than 5 percent of Denver commuters use mass transit, but 27 percent of funds are allocated to it, Hartgen said.
Even after spending $87.8 billion, congestion is expected to double during the next 25 years, Hartgen said. Denver would be better off taking about $8 billion planned for mass transit and spending it to increase road capacity, Hartgen said.
Rail proponents such as Esty say it’s short-sighted to overlook public transportation’s potential to reduce congestion.
Mass transit advocates cite a study by the Texas Transportation Institute at Texas A&M University that found public transportation saved 1.1 billion hours of travel time in 85 urban areas in 2003.
Building highway lanes instead of rail requires more parking capacity and more fuel consumption, Esty said.
“That approach doesn’t take into account the scarcity of land, the scarcity of fuel and the resultant pollution,” he said. “Those are things that, with the growing population, we’re going to have to take into consideration.”
El Paso County Commissioner Wayne Williams, chairman of the Pikes Peak Rural Transportation Authority board and the council of governments board, isn’t convinced passenger rail is the solution to congestion on I-25.
He’s reserving judgment until the feasibility study is complete.
FREX buses, carpooling, van pooling and adding high-occupancy vehicle lanes might be the better way to go, said Williams, whose colleagues call him “Mr. Transportation” because of his interest in the subject.
Transportation funding increasingly must come from local initiatives such as the Pikes Peak Rural Transportation Authority, Williams said. Voters in 2004 approved a 1 percent sales tax levied in most of El Paso County to improve roads, bridges and public transportation.
Developers also will have to contribute more for road projects, Williams said.
Voters have sent mixed signals on transportation.
The RTA approval in El Paso County and FasTracks passage in Denver show voters are willing to pony up for transportation improvements in those areas.
But in 2005, voters statewide rejected the idea of financing highway projects with debt. Voters defeated Referendum D, which would have jump-started 55 strategic projects throughout the state by selling bonds.
TROLLEYS
In Denver, shiny light-rail trains zip across the city carrying laptoptoting businesspeople, backpackwearing students and pierced barhoppers to their destinations.
In Colorado Springs, volunteers gather in a barn on Steel Drive on Saturdays to refurbish old, wooden streetcars.
Electric streetcars ran in Colorado Springs until 1932. Members of the Pikes Peak Historical Street Railway Foundation want to bring them back.
Even in the most ambitious plans, the trolleys would be more of a nostalgic tourist attraction than a transportation solution.
Realistically, their plan to bring back the trolleys may never get out of the barn.
The trolley foundation has 14 cars, built between 1901 and 1949, in various stages of restoration, foundation president David Lippincott said. The group hopes to start by running them three miles from the restoration facility to the old downtown train depot on Sierra Madre Street along the existing rail lines parallel to Interstate 25, he said.
Eventually, trolleys would run along Colorado Avenue to Manitou Springs and along Constitution Avenue to Academy Boulevard.
“That’s looking far into the future,” Lippincott admits.
Cities such as Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, Tucson, Memphis, New Orleans and Tampa have discovered that running vintage trolleys is good for tourism and helps relieve congestion and parking downtown.
The trolley group is trying to raise about $6 million in private money to open the downtown leg, he said. If volunteers can get that leg running, Lippincott hopes the trolleys will generate enough attention and donations to build the rest of the system.
In 1901, gold mining millionaire Winfield Scott Stratton bought a troubled trolley system and established the Colorado Springs & Interurban Railway.
Stratton’s trolleys hauled tourists and residents to Seven Falls, Garden of the Gods and destinations citywide. Ladies in long skirts and gentlemen in felt hats rode to dances in the Stratton Park Pavilion and to Boulevard Park to see the then-new minor league baseball team, the Colorado Springs Millionaires.
In the early 1900s, the Colorado and Southern Railway, the Santa Fe and the Denver & Rio Grande Railroad offered passengers 38 daily connections between Denver and Colorado Springs, rail historian McFarland said.
“At that time, it was the best mode of transportation,” said McFarland, a conductor on the Pikes Peak Cog Railway in Manitou Springs. “Going to Denver any other way would take at least a day. This took a couple of hours.”
Today, ColoRail’s Esty would be happy with two passenger trains a day between the state’s two biggest cities. He thinks ridership would grow quickly.
“We’ve got to start somewhere,” he said. “Let’s start with a handful and grow it from there.”
RAIL, HIGHWAY AND BUS NUMBERS
How the past, present and future add up along Interstate 25
119
miles of light rail are hoped to be added with Denver’s FasTracks by 2016. FasTracks is a voter-approved, $4.7 billion plan.
54
miles exist in Denver’s current lightrail system after 19 additional miles opened Thursday.
$12
would be paid by passengers riding from Colorado Springs to Denver, or $24 round trip, on the proposed Ranger Express.
26 million
train trips a year from Pueblo to Fort Collins are projected by Front Range Commuter Rail, a group that supports passenger rail.
630
FREX boardings happen on a typical workday. Each of the Colorado Springs-based buses removes up to 27 cars from Interstate 25.
8,500
vehicles a day traveled I-25 when it opened in Colorado Springs in 1960. By 2005, that count had reached 110,00 a day in some areas.
SHORT OF CASH
The stream of money to keep traffic flowing throughout Colorado isn’t there, according to many projections. Here are some of the numbers.
$75 billion
is forecast to be available for state and local agencies to spend on transportation across
Colorado between now and 2030.
$123 billion
is needed between now and 2030 to maintain existing mobility levels and prevent the statewide transportation system from deteriorating.
$48 billion
is the shortfall between amount available and amount needed to maintain existing mobility levels.
$264
is the annual cost per motorist for poor road conditions, including extra operating costs and vehicle repairs.
$1,426
is the average annual cost of delays because of congestion to travelers in Denver, Boulder and Colorado Springs.
$1 million
is needed to lay each mile of track.
SOURCE: Statewide 2030 Transportation plan. Figures are in 2005 constant dollars.
denver & the west
Town on track for preservation
Depot part of Castle Rock's vision
By Joey Bunch Denver Post Staff Writer
Article Last Updated:11/22/2006 11:40:45 PM MST

Castle Rock's Denver & Rio Grand railroad depot was converted into a museum in the 1970s. (Colorado Historical Society)
Castle Rock - Local leaders are banking on Castle Rock's past as they plan for its future.
Next week, the town will close a $140,000 deal to buy an old train depot, vacant, unlocked and vandalized for years. But someday, it could house a second town museum, a welcome center, a public meeting hall or even find new life as a depot for commuter rail.
The depot is the latest cornerstone in the town's plan for historical preservation. Next year, the town hopes to survey its historic buildings, if it can score a $30,000 grant to fund the task.
"I hope the town can save all the old buildings it can," said Castle Rock Museum director Lionel Oberlin, as he looked over the dilapidated Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe Railroad Depot.
"There aren't that many left."
Fires from primitive home heating took out many of this historic town's original quarters, and in recent years, scrape-offs for new construction have taken many of the others, Oberlin said.
While the town celebrated its 125th anniversary this year, only one in five of its downtown businesses are older than 60.
But in Castle Rock, unlike most of south metro's modern boomtowns, the past is everywhere, and a railroad runs through it.
"This is a railroad town; always has been," said resident Harry Williamson. "Any money the town puts toward preserving that, I'm for it."
Preserving historic character pays off, according to the Colorado Historical Society.
Heritage tourism is a $3.4 billion a year business in Colorado, while attracting residents, businesses and private investment. The Douglas County seat sprang up along the rail lines in the 1870s and flourished because of them. Older buildings are built from stone from local quarries and timber from the foothills; newer buildings are constructed to resemble them.
"A lot of towns have to invent their history," said Fabby Hillyard, Castle Rock's downtown coordinator. "People here are interested in that history. It makes people feel more grounded. The depot is a manifestation of that interest."
The old depot, at 928 Prairie Hawk Drive, is already connected to downtown by a trail under Interstate 25, along Plum Creek. Its high perch on the east provides a soothing view of downtown and Castle Rock's namesake butte.
The 1,480-square-foot Santa Fe depot served the rails from 1911 until the late 1940s. Two previous Santa Fe depots at the site, dating back to the 1880s, burned.
Before the depot becomes a public building, the town must remove lead paint and asbestos, an estimated $2,000 job. The depot also is hooked up to a well and a septic system, problems for a public building. Town water and sewer lines are nearby, however.
But if the depot stays at its current location, the rail crossing will have to be reclassified as public, meaning anywhere from $30,000 to $250,000 in safety improvements, according to the town's assessment of the site.
The value, however, far outweighs the possible costs, said Hillyard, who pitched the project to the Town Council.
"The structure is an important part of the town's historic rail history," she said. "We think that it's a good investment."
PLAN EYES WYOMING FOR HIGH-SPEED RAIL
CASPER, WY --Passenger rail service in Wyoming is edging toward a "back to the future" scenario as interest grows in a high-speed railroad corridor down Interstate 25.
The line would run from Casper to Cheyenne, down Colorado's Front Range, all the way to Albuquerque, NM.
Many Wyoming communities started as railroad towns: Cheyenne was created by the Union Pacific, while Casper owes much of its early growth to the Chicago and North Western line. And Wyoming's tourism industry was jump-started by railroads funneling tourists into Yellowstone National Park.
This rich history might come alive again, boosters say, with high-speed passenger rail operations carrying passengers at the breathtaking speed of 90 to 124 mph. Business planners and railroad boosters say high-speed rail could lessen the congestion of major highways and airports.
Here and there along the I-25 corridor, communities are already embracing rails as the most cost-effective way to move people. Earlier this month, Denver opened a 19-mile southeast light-rail line along I-25, part of the
Fas-Tracks project. Farther south in New Mexico, the Rail Runner Express started service for the Albuquerque metro area this past summer.
Vision
Bob Briggs, president of Front Range Commuter Rail, envisions high-speed rail lines running up and down the I-25 corridor, from Albuquerque to Casper and beyond, and possibly over to Yellowstone National Park. Another section of his proposed Ranger Express line would run along Interstate 70 from Grand
Junction to the Denver International Airport.
"We're raising money for a feasibility study," said Briggs, a former board member of Denver's Regional Transportation District who's been ramrodding the high-speed passenger service idea for the past two years. He wants to knit together a system of more than 1,000 miles of track, with the Denver Fas-Tracks system which plans to build a $4.7 billion, 119-mile light rail system by 2016.
Briggs has just about lined up $1.5 million from Colorado. He needs $400,000 from Wyoming and $600,000 from New Mexico to reach a $2.5 million regional goal before he seeks $2.5 million from the federal government in matching funds.
Last week, Briggs addressed Cheyenne LEADS, the local economic development organization for Cheyenne and Laramie County.
"I asked a roomful of people if they knew any commuters to jobs in Colorado," Briggs said. About 60 percent of those in the room raised their hands, he said.
Need
Briggs said the three-state region of Wyoming, Colorado and New Mexico is going to have a total population of 10 million people by 2015, and desperately needs high-speed passenger service to avoid expensive gridlock
on the region's streets and highways --as well as horrendous congestion in airports including DIA. He estimates that his proposed system could move 26 million commuter trips a year between Pueblo and Fort Collins by 2015.
"The key question is whether there is the political will to do this," Briggs said.
A big step would be construction of new north-south rail lines out on the eastern plains of Colorado, bypassing the built-up Front Range and freeing the Front Range rail lines for passenger service.
Randy Bruns, director of Cheyenne LEADS, said he believes the railroad companies will ultimately do just that, so they can sell and/or develop their Denver railroad yards --all bordering on some of the most valuable
real estate in the Denver metro area.
Bruns said he has identified sources of money in Cheyenne, Casper and Wyoming to support Briggs' feasibility study, which also requires a federal designation of I-25 as a high-speed rail corridor --making it the 11th such
corridor in the nation.
Briggs wants to use existing BNSF Railway Company and Union Pacific Railroad tracks and right of way.
The feasibility study will look at train traffic, tracks, topography and much more to determine whether trains could operate at 90 mph or faster for 75 percent of the time. Briggs' research indicates that an interstate
highway can move some 1,550 cars per hour in each lane at 65 mph or better. Yet a double-track rail line can transport more people than eight lanes of interstate, taking far less space.
The top limit for the proposed system, Briggs said, is 124 mph. Faster than that, he said, and the federal government requires much more stringent standards that could triple the cost.
"I'm a flaming optimist," said Bruns, who sees the idea for high-speed passenger rail service rippling out from Denver, extending sections city by city.
In a real sense, rapid rail service will tend to negate the disadvantages of distance, just as the Internet has done, Bruns said. "That's when we can play to our local strengths," he said.
By Bob Berwyn, Associated Press
Rocky Mountain News
November 25, 2006
SILVERTHORNE -With another ski season ramping up over the busy Thanksgiving holiday, travelers along the I-70 corridor are preparing for the inevitable congestion that can make the trip to and from the mountain resorts slow and dangerous.
There's no immediate solution in sight. The burgeoning Front Range population means a steady growth in the number of I-70 trips, and plans by the Colorado Department of Transportation to significantly improve the highway are years away from being implemented. In fact, release of the final version of a long-awaited I-70 study has been pushed back until early next year. And once the
plan is unveiled, it may be several years until construction actually begins.
But some short-term relief could come from a transportation demand management (TDM) plan forwarded by the I-70 Mountain Corridor Coalition, representing communities and businesses from all along the transportation corridor between Golden and Glenwood Springs.
The TDM plan includes a slew of incentive-based measures intended to address peak-time congestion in the corridor. Some of the ideas floated in a draft version of the plan include free close-in parking at ski areas for carpoolers, as well as coupons for discounted goods and services for visitors willing to adjust their travel times to outside peak hours.
Additionally, the plan calls for installation of a high-tech traffic monitoring and notification system, which was implemented in a pilot phase this summer, visible to travelers in the form of new signs along the highway that detail travel times between key points.
It's not clear to what degree such measures will actually alleviate the crushing peak loads on the highway. The potential benefits haven't been quantified, coalition director Flo Raitano said. But similar measures have been tried - with mixed success - in other areas, notably in some of the long-distance travel corridors along the Eastern seaboard.
"The goal is spread out the traffic and numbers we have now," Raitano said, "We'd like to hear from people who are in the traffic on I-70," she said. The idea is try and find out if some of the incentives would actually be effective in changing travel habits.
"Would you change your travel times if you got free close-in parking at the resorts and a coupon for a free latte? Would free season-long ski storage be an incentive to carpool?" Raitano asked. Other incentives could include "mountain money" for early and late arrivals, and for visitors willing to carpool, she explained.
Summit County Commissioner Bill Wallace, chair of the coalition, said other measures could include preferential parking for overnight guests, and a tiered parking rate structure based on vehicle occupancy.
Wallace said the idea is to start a shift in people's attitudes about traveling the I70 corridor.
Even when physical improvements are made to the highway -and that day could still be 10 years away -changing travel patterns will have to be part of the long-term solution, Wallace said. solution for the corridor. Nay-sayers claim the technology just isn't available yet, but a pair of neighboring states have aggressively pushed ahead with transit projects that offer a potential roadmap for
Colorado.
In both cases, government leadership and buy-in from the business community were crucial to designing and executing transit plans.
In New Mexico, along the Albuquerque to Santa Fe corridor, Gov. Bill Richardson put some of his political capital on the line to develop the Rail Runner system, said project manager Chris Blewett at a conference last month.
"He (Richardson) said, 'I'm going to have the first phase of this done in two years.' It was the most important statement he could have made," Blewett said.
"A lot of people thought this was crazy ... People kept saying, 'You can't do this.'We didn't accept any of the conventional wisdom. We kept saying, 'Why not?'"
The first phase of the project, between Belen and Albuquerque, was completed in just more than two years, just slightly behind the schedule announced by Gov. Richardson. Achieving that goal required an innovative approach, Blewett explained.
"We used a streamlined procurement process. We had no public process and not a single intergovernmental agreement, we didn't do ridership projections, and we had only three budget meetings in two-and-a-half years," Blewett said. "We tried to make this thing believable and real. We tried to adopt a European attitude,"Blewett continued. "This isn't about today. This is about New Mexico's future."
Along Utah's Wasatch Front, squeezed in between the mountains and the Great Salt Lake, key stakeholders recognized that transportation is the backbone of the state's economy, said Steve Meyer, engineering and construction manager for the Utah Transit Authority.
Meyer said winning over the private sector was key to moving ahead with the mass transit project currently in the corridor, where ridership is already double the projected level. Meyer said the state transit agency took a bare-bones, no frills approach -for example buying used railroad cars from other areas. The Utah rail system will serve demand equivalent to an entire lane on I-15, he said.
"It shows you can get it done," Vail town manager Stan Zemler said. "We need to cut the same path and not accept no. And we need to find a statewide solution,"Zemler said. "We need to keep an eye on the PEIS process and make sure it offers a multi-modal solution with transit as a component," he said. "We have to get a transit corridor secured and a commitment to transit," Zemler concluded.
The biggest stumbling block to developing transit for the I-70 corridor is funding. But the change to a Democratic administration in Colorado could result in changes in I-70 policy, Wallace said, anticipating new leadership at CDOT. Wallace said he wouldn't be surprised to see some discussions about a statewide transportation funding measure in the next few years.
Planning and building a transit system will require not only innovative technology, but an equally creative financing mechanism, most likely through a combination of statewide taxes and bonds, experts said during the recent I-70 Coalition transit workshop and retreat at Copper Mountain.
The most frequently discussed transit alternatives, including various fixed guideway systems running from DIA to the Eagle County Airport or beyond, could cost as much as $6 billion. For the sake of comparison, CDOT's annual budget runs about $800 million.
Statewide funding options could come from a statewide sales tax or a levy on gasoline, said Alan Matlosz, senior vice president of George K. Baum and Company.
"There is no limit to the amount of money to fund the project ... the difficulty is, you have to pay it back," said Matlosz, whose company provides investment banking and financial advisory services to local governments throughout Colorado.
Matlosz outlined several ways that the I-70 coalition might be able to raise the money through existing mechanisms already authorized under state laws, including formation of a metro district that could levy property taxes, or a regional transportation authority that could be funded by sales taxes.
A regional transit authority would require a complex intergovernmental |