Highway Expansion - Creating Tomorrows Transportation Problems Today

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Highway Widening Ignores Motorist Safety and Travel Mode Choice in Bad Weather Conditions

 

A highway expansion ONLY solution for the I-70 mountain corridor (as proposed by CDOT as the "Preferred" alternative in the Draft PEIS) means that Colorado residents and visitors have as their only option for travel in the corridor; personal vehicle, van shuttle or bus driving to resort destinations (even in blinding snow storms and treacherous icy road conditions).  These unpleasant and dangerous experiences ignore traveler safety, discourage future Colorado visits and limit Front Range access to the major mountain resorts; instead of facilitating safety and access, and providing an option to driving in bad weather.

 

Many I-70 motorists would prefer an option to driving in bad weather, regardless of their age.  Accidents in the mountain corridor are a frequent occurrence (especially in bad weather) and horrify I-70 motorists.  These experiences are common, dangerous and extremely unpleasant during the winter months.  I-70 white knuckle driving discourages corridor mobility, return resort visits and continues to limit Front Range access to the mountain resorts.

 

When it snows at 2 inches per hour or more (which is common in the Mountain Corridor, especially from Georgetown to Silverthorne and Vail Pass), there is no way CDOT can keep up with snow removal operations on four lanes, let alone six lanes. 

 

All a six lane I-70 will do is allow more unprepared motorists to crash and be injured, allow more trucks to jack-knife and wreck, allow more horrific traffic backups and strand more motorists throughout the corridor when the inevitable highway closure occurs.  This is not rocket science.  Colorado needs an option to driving in the corridor in winter weather conditions, which is when many Front Range Residents and Visitors want to get to the Resorts!

 

A six lane I-70 will not only jeopardize the safety of more motorists, but will place additional burdens on the corridor communities for Law Enforcement, Emergency Management, Fire Protection Service, Ambulance Service and the Care and Sheltering of stranded motorists.

 

A comfortable and convenient rail based transit solution in the mountain corridor will provide a very attractive travel choice in bad weather for Rocky Mountain travelers of all ages and must be the priority improvement component of the I-70 PEIS process!

 


 

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Highway Widening Ignores a Travel Choice

for Aging Baby Boomers

 

The U.S. population is projected to grow to nearly 400 million by 2050, a large absolute increase but a decline in the annual growth rate from 1.1% during the 1990s to 0.5% expected in the 2040s (Cheeseman Day, 2001).

 

This decreasing growth rate is due to declining birth rates, a common phenomena in developed countries. From 2030 to 2050, the United States would grow more slowly than ever before in its history.

 

The population mix is projected to change significantly, with a much greater portion of elderly residents, immigrants and minority residents. Figure 15 shows U.S. population pyramids for 1990 and 2025. A dramatic change is projected to occur during the next twenty years as the Baby Boom ages.

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As the Baby Boom retires their per capita vehicle travel should decline, and their demand for alternative modes and more accessible housing location is likely to increase (AARP, 2005).

Although Baby Boomers are likely to drive more than previous retirees, they are unlikely to drive as much as they did during their working years. As people age they tend to drive less, as illustrated in Figure 16. The most significant reduction occurs when they
retire and so no longer commute, and annual mileage continues to decline as people age.

 

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As baby boomers age, the number of people in the United States over the age of 65 is projected to more than double from 35 million in 2000 to 71 million in 2030.  Many Seniors will have to live on fixed incomes which will make motor vehicle ownership difficult, especialy with the increasing liquid fuel costs due to world peak oil production and continued Middle East conflicts. 

 

For this group, isolation is a real problem; more than one in five (21%) do not drive today and more than 50% of those who do not drive, stay home on any given day due to lack of transportation options.

 

The increased isolation of an aging population is a major concern. This will create new demands for transportation services to meet the needs of seniors for access and mobility. Transportation needs cannot be measured by simply looking at population growth, jobs, absolute amount of traffic growth, or even total system usage.  People who don’t travel may have even more severe transportation needs than those who do –  if the reason they don’t travel is because they have no options.  More public transportation options are needed, particularly in the more rural areas and particularly for access on the regional and inter-regional levels. Some sort of basic, statewide public transportation service is needed in Colorado today and will be even more important to serve our large Senior population in 2030!

 

As life expectancy rises and the Baby Boomer generation in the United States approaches their post retirement age, many will be looking to travel throughout the U.S.  Some are fairly affluent folks who seek out destinations that will cater to their needs.  Transportation and Resort Area planners should be looking for solutions that accommodate the growing number of retired travelers and provide them with an option to driving, especially at higher elevations and in bad weather.  Those Resorts throughout the country that cater to this group will collect their business.  Those resorts that do not will lose their business.

 

A comfortable and convenient rail based transit solution in the mountain corridor will provide a very attractive travel choice, not just for seniors, but for Rocky Mountain travelers of all ages. 

 


 

Our national Caucasian population is having fewer children than previous generations and is not replacing itself.  Winter and summer outdoor mountain recreation is relatively expensive and there is no question that affluent Caucasians are currently the majority of mountain corridor summer and winter tourists.  The largest growing national demographic sector is the Hispanic and Latino community, especially Mexican Americans, who may not necessarily value outdoor recreation and public lands in the same way as previous American generations have.   Their priorities for spending disposable income may be quite different than previous Caucasian generations. 

 

In addition, the obesity rate among America's youth today is staggering as in-home entertainment through on-line computer usage, cell phones, I-Pods, video games, virtual reality sports simulations, high definition television, digital audio, digital radio and high definition movies are becoming much more popular than actual outdoor exercise. 

 

Look at the growing sales and growing sophistication in laptop and home computers, hand held and mobile computers, computer generated animation, computer generated video and graphics, digital audio, digital cellular devices, CDs, MP3's, DVD's, video games, high definition television and high definition movies in recent years as an example. 

 

These trends would suggest that in another 10 to 15 years, America's new generation will prefer to virtually ski and snowboard, virtually mountain climb, virtually hunt, virtually race motorcycles, snowmobiles, ATVs, Off-Road Vehicles, bicycles and cars and virtually travel; all from the comfort of their homes and at a fraction of the cost and at a fraction of the actual effort required to travel into the mountains and participate in these recreational activities and outdoor sports. 

 

Why put up with driving under treacherous winter icy conditions and freeze or get rained on outside when you can have very close to the same experience right at home?  In fact, you may be much more proficient at the virtual and computer sports than you would be at the actual outdoor exercise or sport, so what would be the incentive to bother to go to the mountains?

 

Is CDOT Region 1, the Denver Metro Chamber and the Ski Industry paying attention?  Sure, the mountains will still provide a nice view from the Front Range Metropolitan area, but it will require far less effort, far less time and be far less expense to recreate through advanced computer, video and virtual technologies, right at home.   

 


 

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Highway Widening Ignores a Travel Choice for Peak Period Congestion

 

A highway expansion ONLY solution for the I-70 mountain corridor (as proposed by CDOT in the Draft PEIS) means that Colorado residents and visitors have as their only option for travel in the corridor; personal vehicle, van shuttle or bus driving to resort destinations during periods of peak congestion and highway construction. 

 

Bad weather, accidents, break-downs, wildlife on the roadway, sun glare, construction, law enforcement activities and slow moving vehicles will continue to delay traffic and promote road rage on a six lane I-70 very similar to the current four lane I-70.  Sitting in I-70 traffic due to peak hour congestion (or other traffic impacting incidents) without a viable alternative, is an unpleasant experience and will discourage corridor visits and limit Front Range access to the major mountain resorts. 

 

Travel Choice is all about providing an option to driving and can be very effective at taking vehicles off the highway, leaving more room for those who absolutely must use the highway.

 

Again, a comfortable and convenient rail based transit solution in the mountain corridor will provide a very attractive travel choice for Rocky Mountain travelers of all ages and compliment highway use better than simply adding lanes to the current highway. 

 

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Courtesy of the Victoria Transport Policy Institute:

Travel Choice & Change Management
Developing Support for Innovation

Description

Change Management refers to activities that support organizational innovation and reform (in this case the organization can be range from a small, private company to a government agency or even an entire community or jurisdiction). It recognizes that organizations often have inertia that must be overcome to create more efficient, responsive and resilient organizations.

 

Change Management requires anticipating and addressing potential obstacles to innovation, and building support by showing individuals that new approaches can ultimately make them better off. It requires managing risk, since change involves uncertainty. It requires including stakeholders in decision-making, and responding to their concerns, since change usually affects many people. It requires correcting distortive institutional incentives that encourage individuals to oppose innovation. All of these changes reflect good management, and are particularly important when implementing fundamental change.

 

Sometimes, when a problem seems particularly difficult it is best to reconsider how the problem is defined, how options are evaluated, and the types of solutions considered. This is called a “paradigm shift,” (Kuhn, 1970). Famous paradigm shifts include Copernicus’s heliocentric model of the universe, Darwin’s theory of evolution, and liberal democracy as a political structure. Common management clichés such as “Work smarter, not harder” and “Think outside the box” are admonitions to consider new approaches to problem solving, i.e., a paradigm shift.

 

Transportation Demand Management represents a type of paradigm shift. Specifically, TDM requires:

 

·        Evaluating transportation system performance based on Accessibility and Mobility, not just vehicle travel.

 

·        Comprehensive Transportation Planning, rather than reductionist decision-making, so the full benefits of TDM can be considered.

 

·        Least Cost Planning, so strategies that increase system efficiency are given equal consideration as strategies that increase system capacity.

 

·        Consideration of Transportation Diversity Benefits.

 

·        Application of Market Reforms to increase overall efficiency and equity.

 

·        Changing the way transportation activity is Measured and solutions Evaluated.

 

·        Institutional and Regulatory reforms. 

 

Although these strategies are often desirable for many reasons, their benefits tend to be dispersed and long-term, and so are often overlooked or undervalued.

 

TDM implementation often requires a “change agent”, that is, somebody with vision to provide leadership, who is able to articulate the benefits of change and has the resources to overcome the barriers that inevitably develop. This is not for the faint-hearted or easily discouraged: initially such reforms often face exaggerated criticism and fail or are only partially implemented. However, over time, worthwhile reforms take hold and become normal. Once they are well established, people who originally opposed innovations will often claim credit for them! 

Being a Change Agent

Mobility management often involves changing current practices, so proponents must be Change Agents, that is, people within an organization who provide leadership for change and anticipate and address objections.

 

Change Agents must:

 

·        Expand the range of solutions that are considered in decision-making.

 

·        Question assumptions used for evaluation.

 

·        Look at the big picture. Pay attention to context and indirect impacts.

 

·        Ask, “Are current trends desirable?” “Will they result in an optimal future?”

 

·        Use comprehensive evaluation techniques that consider all benefits and costs.

 

·        Make change more attractive than current practices.

 

·        Use positive statements. Emphasize the benefits of change.

 

·        Focus on appropriate niches. Don’t try to be everything to everybody.

 

·        Don’t be afraid to say “no” to bad ideas, but try to offer an alternative which better balances overall objectives.

 

·        Listen to and educate stakeholders. Develop communication with stakeholders in order to clearly understand the basis of their concerns and how they can be addressed.

 

·        Don’t give up! Most change requires several efforts before success. Be prepared for obstacles and setbacks.

 

Innovation often faces resistance and criticism from people who fear change.

 

But if new ideas are fundamentally sound and advocates are persistent, they will often succeed and the same people who previously opposed the change will embrace it and claim it as their own! 

People often assume that what is considered normal must be good. For example, efforts to encourage use of alternative transport modes often face resistance from people who are accustomed to automobile travel and so cannot believe that alternatives could be better. “I just want to be able to drive where I want,” they might argue, implying that such behavior is quite reasonable, even if factors such as population growth, land prices and travel demand are increasing the costs of accommodating additional vehicle traffic and making alternatives more cost effective.

 

Change tends to be difficult because it requires “psychic effort,” that is, it makes people to think about situations that they otherwise can take for granted. For example, a shift from free to Cashed Out parking requires people to think about the value of teach trip and consider use of alternative modes. Similarly, it may seem stressful to try cycling or riding public transit. The first few times people face such a decision it may seem stressful. But over time people become accustomed to new options and conditions, and will often admit that they are better off overall, despite initial opposition.

 

The psychic effort can be reduced by making changes:

  • Convenient
  • Desirable
  • “Normal”

Consider the first generation of trains, cars and airplanes. To modern eyes they look awkward, and their performance was poor. The first cars were horseless carriages, steered by a tiller rather than a wheel. The first Wright Flyer had various wings, stabilizers, steering panels and reinforcements that seem unnecessarily complex and inefficient; it could only carry one passenger lying on their stomach. But these modest beginnings evolved into modern cars and planes. Similarly, new transportation management programs and policies often seem awkward and inefficient when first introduced, in part because people are unfamiliar with them, and in part because important details may still need to be adjusted to improve performance. Do not let a program be judged too soon, do not be afraid to adjust programs and policies when needed, and continue to maintain a vision of what the program should achieve in the long term.

 

Organizations often require change management to reform standard practices and resources. For example, a planning agency may need to change its zoning codes, development standards, staff training, funding formulas and decision-making processes to effectively implement TDM.

 

Real Versus Token Change

Organizations often try to avoid real, fundamental change by implementing token reforms. An important Change Management skill is therefore being able to discern between token and real changes. Here are some indicators of real change.

 

·    Although it may start small, it is the beginning rather than the end of organizational change.

 

·    Leaders give it real respect and support.

 

·    It is integrated into strategic plans and activities.

 

·    It can grow to have a significant effect on organizational activities.